The Miko International Holdings Limited (HKG:1247) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 80%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 62%.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Miko International Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.7x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have P/S ratios below 0.7x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Miko International Holdings Has Been Performing
The recent revenue growth at Miko International Holdings would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Miko International Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Miko International Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Miko International Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.8%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 30% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Miko International Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in Miko International Holdings' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that Miko International Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Miko International Holdings, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
在过去的一个月中,Miko International Holdings Limited(HKG:1247)股价表现非常出色,收获了80%的惊人涨幅。最近30天使年度增长率非常高达62%。
由于市销率(或“P/S”)为1.7倍,几乎有一半的香港奢侈品行业公司的市销率低于0.7倍,所以在股价大幅反弹后,你可能会认为Miko International Holdings的股票不值得研究。然而,高市销率可能是有原因的,需要进一步调查以判断是否合理。
Miko International Holdings的表现如何
如果不是惊人的话,那么Miko International Holdings公司最近的营业收入增长应该被认为是令人满意的。也许市场认为最近的营业收入表现足够强大,可以超越行业板块,从而使市销率升高。 如果不是这样,那么现有股东可能会对股票的可持续性感到有些紧张。
尽管没有Miko International Holdings的分析师预测可用,但可以查看这个免费的数据丰富的可视化,以了解公司在收益、收入和现金流方面的表现情况。
Miko International Holdings的营业收入增长趋势如何?
为了证明其市销率的合理性,Miko International Holdings需要实现超过行业板块的惊人增长。
有了这些信息,我们会发现Miko International Holdings的市销率高于行业板块令人担忧。大多数投资者似乎忽略了最近增长率相对较低的事实,并希望公司业务前景会有好转。 如果市销率跌至与最近的增长率相符的水平,现有股东很可能会让自己失望。
重要提示
Miko International Holdings的股票价格大幅反弹,这使得该公司的市销率大幅上升。我们认为市销率的作用不是作为估值工具,而是用来衡量当前投资者的情绪和未来的预期。
Miko International Holdings目前的市销率相对于行业板块来说较高,这是一种奇怪的现象,因为它最近的三年增长率低于更广泛的行业预测。当我们看到营业收入增长低于行业水平但市销率却很高时,股价下跌的风险相当大,进而导致市销率降低。 如果最近的中期条件不显着改善,很难接受这些股票价格的合理性
考虑到投资风险的永恒威胁是必要的。我们已经确定了Miko International Holdings的2个警示信号,了解这些信号应该是你的投资过程的一部分。