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Is HongboLtd (SZSE:002229) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is HongboLtd (SZSE:002229) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

HongboLtd (SZSE:002229)在使用债务方面存在风险吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/05 00:59

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hongbo Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002229) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

戴维·伊本说得好:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它在债务方面的使用情况,因为债务过载可能会导致破产。我们可以看到,宏博股份有限公司(SZSE:002229)确实在业务中使用了负债。但真正的问题是,这些负债是否让公司变得更加危险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

通常情况下,当一家公司不能轻易偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是借助自身的现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所有。尽管这并不太常见,但我们经常看到负债的公司因为贷方强制它们以低于正常价格的价格筹集资本而永久稀释股东。尽管如此,最常见的情况是,一家公司合理地管理其债务,并获取自身优势。考虑企业使用了多少负债时,首先要做的就是将其现金和债务放在一起看。

What Is HongboLtd's Net Debt?

宏博股份有限公司的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 HongboLtd had CN¥452.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥395.0m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥738.2m in cash, leading to a CN¥285.6m net cash position.

您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数字,但它显示截至2024年3月,宏博股份有限公司的债务为人民币452.6万元,较去年同期的人民币395.0万元增加。但另一方面,它还有人民币738.2万元的现金,导致净现金头寸为人民币285.6万元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002229 Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
SZSE:002229资产负债率历史记录2024年6月5日

How Strong Is HongboLtd's Balance Sheet?

宏博股份有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that HongboLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.42b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥324.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥738.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥303.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥700.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最近的财务报表中看到,宏博股份有限公司在一年内到期的票据、短期借款和应付账款合计为人民币1.42亿元,到期超过一年的债务为人民币3,249万元。抵消这些义务的是,其现金为人民币7,382万元,以及在12个月内到期的应收账款为人民币3,037万元。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款合计还多了7,005万元。

Since publicly traded HongboLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥6.96b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, HongboLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is HongboLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

由于公开交易的宏博股份有限公司股票总值达到人民币69.6亿元,似乎不太可能对其造成重大威胁。然而,我们认为关注其资产负债表的健康状况是值得的,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但宏博股份有限公司的现金多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它能安全地管理其债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但最终,对于每个公司,都可能存在超出资产负债表范畴的风险。请注意,宏博股份有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,其中一个不能被忽视……

In the last year HongboLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 11%, to CN¥631m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

在过去的一年中,宏博股份有限公司在EBIT水平上没有盈利,但其营业收入增长了11%,达到人民币6.31亿元。这种增长速度有点慢,但让世界多姿多彩。

So How Risky Is HongboLtd?

那么宏博股份有限公司有多大的风险?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that HongboLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥281m of cash and made a loss of CN¥61m. But the saving grace is the CN¥285.6m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that HongboLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...

我们毫不怀疑,亏损的公司通常比盈利的公司风险更高。我们注意到,宏博股份有限公司在过去一年中EBIT出现亏损。实际上,这段时间内它烧掉了2.81亿元现金,赚了6100万元。但救命稻草是账面上的2,856万元现金。这意味着它可以以目前的速度继续支出两年以上。总的来说,我们认为该股票有点冒险,通常情况下我们非常谨慎,直到看到正的自由现金流。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范畴的风险。请注意,宏博股份有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了2个警告信号,其中一个不能被忽视……

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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