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Here's Why Andersons (NASDAQ:ANDE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Andersons (NASDAQ:ANDE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

安德森斯(纳斯达克股票代码:ANDE)为何能负责任地管理其债务?
Simply Wall St ·  06/05 08:29

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, The Andersons, Inc. (NASDAQ:ANDE) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,安德森公司(纳斯达克股票代码:ANDE)确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Andersons's Debt?

什么是安德森的债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Andersons had US$593.9m of debt in March 2024, down from US$1.21b, one year before. However, it also had US$294.2m in cash, and so its net debt is US$299.8m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示安德森在2024年3月的债务为5.939亿美元,低于一年前的12.1亿美元。但是,它也有2.942亿美元的现金,因此其净负债为2.998亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ANDE Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
NASDAQGS: ANDE 债转股历史记录 2024 年 6 月 5 日

A Look At Andersons' Liabilities

看看安德森的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Andersons had liabilities of US$1.08b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$702.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$294.2m in cash and US$701.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$789.5m.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,安德森的负债为10.8亿美元,一年后到期的负债为7.021亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有2.942亿美元的现金和7.017亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额7.895亿美元。

Andersons has a market capitalization of US$1.74b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

安德森的市值为17.4亿美元,因此,如果需要,它很可能会筹集资金以改善其资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Andersons has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.84. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 11.3 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the other side of the story is that Andersons saw its EBIT decline by 3.6% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Andersons can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

安德森的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率很低,仅为0.84。其息税前利润高达11.3倍的利息支出。因此,你可以争辩说,它受到债务的威胁并不比大象受到老鼠的威胁更大。但故事的另一面是,安德森的息税前利润比去年下降了3.6%。这种下降如果持续下去,显然会使债务更难处理。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定安德森能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Andersons actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,安德森产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。这种强劲的现金产生像穿着大黄蜂套装的小狗一样温暖着我们的心。

Our View

我们的观点

Andersons's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its EBIT growth rate. All these things considered, it appears that Andersons can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Andersons has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

安德森将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,这表明它可以像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在对阵14岁以下的守门员的比赛中进球一样轻松地处理债务。但是,更悲观的是,我们对其息税前利润增长率有点担忧。考虑到所有这些因素,安德森似乎可以轻松应对其当前的债务水平。从好的方面来看,这种杠杆作用可以提高股东的回报,但潜在的缺点是损失风险更大,因此值得关注资产负债表。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,安德森有 1 个警告标志,我们认为你应该注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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