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These 4 Measures Indicate That OneWater Marine (NASDAQ:ONEW) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

These 4 Measures Indicate That OneWater Marine (NASDAQ:ONEW) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

这4项措施表明,onewater marine (纳斯达克:ONEW)正在以冒险的方式使用债务。
Simply Wall St ·  06/05 10:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies OneWater Marine Inc. (NASDAQ:ONEW) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大卫·伊本说得好,“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本永久损失。” 因此,聪明的投资者知道,通常牵涉破产的债务是衡量公司风险的一个非常重要的因素。与许多公司一样,OneWater Marine Inc.(纳斯达克:ONEW)也利用了债务。但真正的问题是这些债务是否使公司变得更加危险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司不能轻易用筹资或自身现金流支付债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。 最终,如果公司不能履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所获。然而,更正常(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须简单地以廉价的股票价格稀释股东权益,以控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务并从中获益。当我们审查债务水平时,我们首先同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does OneWater Marine Carry?

OneWater Marine承担多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 OneWater Marine had debt of US$999.0m, up from US$948.6m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$47.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$952.0m.

下面的图像,您可以单击以获取更多详细信息,显示2024年3月OneWater Marine拥有9.99亿美元的债务,比一年前的948.6万美元增加了50.4万美元。反过来,它有4,700万美元的现金,导致净债务约为9.52亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:ONEW Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
NasdaqGM:ONEW Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024

How Healthy Is OneWater Marine's Balance Sheet?

OneWater Marine的资产负债表健康情况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that OneWater Marine had liabilities of US$750.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$580.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$47.0m as well as receivables valued at US$114.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.17b.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到OneWater Marine有7.501亿美元的负债到期在12个月内,580.0万美元的负债到期超过12个月。抵消这些责任,它有4,700万美元的现金以及价值114.4万美元的应收款到期在12个月内。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收款的总和1.17亿美元。这个亏损投下了一个影子,让这家4.853亿美元价值的公司像一个巨人一样屹立在普通人中间。因此,毫无疑问地,我们会仔细观察它的资产负债表。毕竟,如果OneWater Marine今天不得不偿还债务,它可能需要进行重大的再资本化。

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$485.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, OneWater Marine would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

1.8倍的糟糕利润覆盖率和6.5倍的高净负债与EBITDA比率像一拳两拳打在我们对OneWater Marine的信恳智能上。这意味着我们认为它负债沉重。更糟的是,OneWater Marine的EBIT在过去一年中下降了41%。如果收益在长期内保持这种情况,它没有还债的丝毫机会。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的关于债务的最多信息。但归根结底,业务未来的盈利能力将决定OneWater Marine是否能随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,您可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了比较一个公司的债务与其收益的关系,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前的收益和利息前的收益(其利息覆盖率)。因此,我们考虑了债务的绝对数量以及支付的利率。

Weak interest cover of 1.8 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.5 hit our confidence in OneWater Marine like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, OneWater Marine's EBIT was down 41% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if OneWater Marine can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

糟糕的利息覆盖率1.8倍和可怕的EBITDA净负债比6.5倍打击了我们对OneWater Marine的信恳智能,就像一拳两拳打在肚子上。这意味着我们认为它的负债很沉重。更糟糕的是,OneWater Marine的EBIT在过去一年中下降了41%。如果收益在长期内保持这种情况,它没有还债的丝毫机会。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的关于债务的最多信息。毕竟,OneWater Marine的EBIT在过去一年中下降了41%。如果收益在长期内保持这种情况,它几乎没有了偿还债务的机会。如果您关注未来,您可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, OneWater Marine saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但我们最终考虑的一点也很重要,因为公司无法用纸质利润偿还债务;它需要冰冷的现金。因此,我们总是检查有多少EBIT转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,OneWater Marine的自由现金流总体上为负数。虽然投资者毫无疑问地期望情况会有所改观,但这显然表明它的债务使用更加冒险。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both OneWater Marine's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. It looks to us like OneWater Marine carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for OneWater Marine that you should be aware of.

坦率地说,一水海洋的EBIt增长率以及保持总负债的良好记录让我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。即使其纯债务/EBITDA也无法激发太多信心。在我们看来,一水海洋承载着重要的资产负债表负担。如果你玩火,你就会冒着被烧伤的风险,所以我们可能会远离这只股票。显然,资产负债表是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范畴的风险。例如,我们已经发现了OneWater Marine的一个警示信号,你应该注意它。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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