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Is MSA Safety (NYSE:MSA) A Risky Investment?

Is MSA Safety (NYSE:MSA) A Risky Investment?

msa safety (纽交所:MSA)是否是一项有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  06/05 14:42

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, MSA Safety Incorporated (NYSE:MSA) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

伯克希尔·哈撒韦背书的外部基金经理陆立在谈到“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失”时毫不避讳。因此,看起来明智的投资者知道,通常与破产有关的债务是评估公司风险的一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,纽交所 (NYSE) 的MSA安全公司(MSA Safety Incorporated)承担了债务,但股东们应该担心它使用债务吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有在公司无法轻松偿还债务时,无论是通过筹集资本还是使用自有现金流,债务才会成为一个真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。然而,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以折扣价格发行股票,永久性稀释股东,以加强其资产负债表。当然,很多公司使用债务来资助成长,而没有任何负面后果。在考虑公司使用了多少债务时,第一件事是将其现金和债务放在一起看。

What Is MSA Safety's Net Debt?

MSA安全公司(MSA Safety's)的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that MSA Safety had US$596.2m of debt in March 2024, down from US$869.6m, one year before. However, it also had US$148.3m in cash, and so its net debt is US$447.8m.

您可以单击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2024年3月,MSA安全公司有5.962亿美元的债务,比一年前的869.6亿美元降低。但是,该公司也拥有1.483亿美元的现金,因此其净债务为4.478亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MSA Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
纽交所 (NYSE) :MSA公司负债/ 股本历史 June 5th 2024

A Look At MSA Safety's Liabilities

根据上一份财务报表,MSA安全公司应付的短期债务为3.165亿美元,应付的长期债务为8.631亿美元。另一方面,它现金为1.483亿美元,应收账款为2.791亿美元。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收账款的总和752.2百万美元

According to the last reported balance sheet, MSA Safety had liabilities of US$316.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$863.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$148.3m and US$279.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$752.2m.

由于MSA安全公司的市值为69.5亿美元,很难相信这些负债会构成太大威胁。尽管如此,显而易见的是,我们应继续监控其资产负债表,以防情况恶化。

Given MSA Safety has a market capitalization of US$6.95b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

MSA安全公司具有仅为0.94的较低净债务/ EBITDA比率。它的利息费用被其EBIT覆盖了10.9倍。因此,您可以认为它被债务威胁的程度不亚于大象被老鼠威胁的程度。另一个好的迹象是,MSA安全公司已经能够在十二个月内将其EBIT增长27%,这使得偿还债务变得更容易。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解到债务的大多数内容。但是,公司未来的盈利能力最终将决定MSA安全公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了衡量公司债务相对于其收益的大小,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)以及其税前收益与利息支出(其利息覆盖率)的比率。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了所支付的利率。

MSA Safety has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.94. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Another good sign is that MSA Safety has been able to increase its EBIT by 27% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MSA Safety can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最后,公司只能用真金白银而不是会计利润来还债。因此,值得检查多少EBIT是由自由现金流支持的。从最近三年的数据来看,MSA安全公司的自由现金流占其EBIT的32%,这比我们预期的要弱。这种差强人意的现金转换使处理负债更加困难。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, MSA Safety recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

令人欣慰的是,MSA安全公司卓越的EBIT增长率表明它在债务方面处于优势。但真相是,我们认为它将EBIT转换为自由现金流的能力会削弱这一印象。考虑到所有这些数据,我们认为MSA安全公司对待债务的方法非常明智。虽然这带来了一些风险,但也可以为股东增强回报。明确的是,当您分析债务时,资产负债表是需要关注的领域。但是,从资产负债表之外存在的风险而言,每家公司都可能存在风险。请注意,MSA安全公司在我们的投资分析中显示了2个警告信号,您需要知道...

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, MSA Safety's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that MSA Safety takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that MSA Safety is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

简而言之,企业只能用实实在在的现金而不是会计利润来偿还债务。因此,值得检查多少EBIT是由自由现金流支持的。从最近三年的数据来看,MSA安全公司的自由现金流占其EBIT的32%,这比我们预期的要弱。这种差强人意的现金转换使处理负债更加困难。幸运的是,MSA安全公司的卓越EBIT增长率表明它在债务方面处于优势。但是,事实并非如此,我们认为它将EBIT转换为自由现金流的能力有点削弱这个形象。考虑到所有这些数据,我们认为MSA安全公司对待债务的方法非常明智。虽然这带来了一些风险,但也可以为股东增强回报。明确的是,当您分析债务时,资产负债表是需要关注的领域。但是,从资产负债表之外存在的风险而言,每家公司都可能存在风险。请注意,MSA安全公司在我们的投资分析中显示了2个警告信号,您需要知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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