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These 4 Measures Indicate That Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical (SHSE:600796) Is Using Debt Extensively

These 4 Measures Indicate That Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical (SHSE:600796) Is Using Debt Extensively

这4项措施表明钱江生化(SHSE:600796)在广泛使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  06/05 19:13

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical Co., Ltd (SHSE:600796) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦•巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性远非风险的同义词。”因此,当你评估一家公司的风险时,智慧的钱知道通常与破产有关的债务是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,钱江生化(SHSE:600796)的业务确实使用了债务。但是,股东应该担心公司使用债务吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业出现偿还债务的问题,无论是通过新的资本还是自由现金流。资本主义的本质包括“创造性的毁灭”过程,而失败的企业通常会被其银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,企业需要低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东权益。当然,债务对于企业来说也可以是一种重要工具,特别是对于重资产的企业。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要查看它的现金和债务合在一起。

What Is Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's Net Debt?

钱江生化的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical had CN¥1.81b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥516.0m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.29b.

正如下面所示,钱江生化在2024年3月份有18.1亿人民币的债务,大约与去年同期相同。点击图表以获取更多详细信息。反过来,它拥有5.16亿人民币的现金,从而导致净债务约为12.9亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600796 Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
SHSE: 600796的股权历史负债比例于2024年6月5日。

A Look At Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's Liabilities

我们可以看到,从最近的资产负债表中可以看到,钱江生化有17.3亿人民币的短期到期负债,以及14.2亿人民币的长期到期负债。抵消这些义务,它拥有5.16亿人民币的现金以及付款期限在12个月内的应收账款总值为11.4亿元。所以,它的总负债比现金和短期应收账款加起来还多1.49亿元。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical had liabilities of CN¥1.73b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.42b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥516.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.14b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

这个赤字并不那么糟糕,因为钱江生化的市值为38.4亿元,因此如果需要,可能会筹集足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。但是,我们肯定希望密切关注它的债务是否带来太多风险。

This deficit isn't so bad because Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical is worth CN¥3.84b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

钱江生化的净债务与EBITDA之比为2.7,表明它使用了相当大量的负债来推高回报。好的方面是,它的息税前利润倍数为8.3倍,而EBITDA净债务比率则相当高,达到2.7倍。钱江生化去年的EBIT增长了4.8%。这很不可思议,但对于偿还债务来说却是一件好事情。在分析负债水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但是,未来的收益,更甚于任何其他因素,将决定钱江生化的维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注的是未来,您可以查看这份自由现金流的分析报告。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了考察公司债务与盈利的相对关系,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比值以及其利息支出(利息保障倍数)与利润之前的利润(EBIT)的比值。这种方法的优点是,我们考虑了与债务相关的绝对量(净债务与EBITDA)和实际利息开支(利息保障倍数)的实际利润。

Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical has net debt to EBITDA of 2.7 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 8.3 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 2.7. Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical grew its EBIT by 4.8% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法摆脱这一点。因此,值得检查的是,EBIT中有多少由自由现金流支持。在过去三年中,钱江生化以总计的负自由现金流来记录。对于现金流不可靠的公司而言,债务风险要大得多,因此股东应该希望过去的支出将在未来产生自由现金流。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

钱江生化难以将EBIT转化为自由现金流,使我们开始质疑其资产负债表强度,但我们考虑的其他数据点相对而言是令人满意的。但好的方面是,它用EBIT支付其利息费用的能力并不差。综合考虑这些因素,我们确实认为钱江生化的债务对企业构成了一些风险。因此,虽然杠杆比率确实增加了股本回报率,但我们不想看到它继续增加。资产负债表显然是在分析负债时需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。这些风险很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们发现钱江生化存在1个警告信号,您应该了解一下。

Our View

我们的观点

Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical you should know about.

钱江生化难以将EBIT转化为自由现金流,使我们开始质疑其资产负债表强度,但我们考虑的其他数据点相对而言是令人满意的。但好的方面是,它用EBIT支付其利息费用的能力并不差。综合考虑这些因素,我们确实认为钱江生化的债务对企业构成了一些风险。因此,虽然杠杆比率确实增加了股本回报率,但我们不想看到它继续增加。资产负债表显然是在分析负债时需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。这些风险很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们发现钱江生化存在1个警告信号,您应该了解一下。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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