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Are CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601608) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

Are CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601608) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

考虑到该股近期疲软,中信重工股份有限公司(SHSE:601608)的基本面足够好吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/06 18:42

It is hard to get excited after looking at CITIC Heavy Industries' (SHSE:601608) recent performance, when its stock has declined 10% over the past month. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study CITIC Heavy Industries' ROE in this article.

当看到中信重工(SHSE:601608)近一个月的股价下跌了10%后,我们难以兴奋。但是,如果您仔细观察,可能会发现其关键的财务指标看起来相当不错,这可能意味着在长期内,该股票有潜力上涨,因为市场通常会奖励具有更弹性的长期基本面。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究中信重工的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东权益回报率(ROE)是测试公司如何有效地增加其价值并管理投资者资金的指标。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于股本资本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CITIC Heavy Industries is:

因此,根据上述公式,中信重工的roe为:

4.8% = CN¥398m ÷ CN¥8.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

4.8%=CN¥398m ÷ CN¥8.3b(基于截至2024年3月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报”是业务在过去一年内实现的收入。这意味着,对于每个CN¥1股东权益,公司的利润为CN¥0.05。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE对于盈利增长的重要性是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定ROE作为公司未来收益的有效利润生成度量。根据公司“保留”多少利润以及它如何有效地保留利润,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力。假设其他所有条件相同,具有更高股东权益回报率和更高利润保留的公司通常是与没有相同特征的公司相比增长速度更高的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of CITIC Heavy Industries' Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

中信重工盈利增长和4.8%roe的并列比较

It is quite clear that CITIC Heavy Industries' ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.8%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. However, the moderate 15% net income growth seen by CITIC Heavy Industries over the past five years is definitely a positive. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

很明显,中信重工的roe相当低。即使与行业平均值6.8%相比,roe也相当令人失望。但是,中信重工在过去五年中实现的适度的净利润增长达到了15%,绝对是个积极的因素。我们认为可能还有其他方面正在积极影响该公司的盈利增长。例如,公司的管理层可能已做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司的派息比率较低。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that CITIC Heavy Industries' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 9.4% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下来,与行业净利润增长相比,我们发现中信重工的增长与同期行业平均增长率为9.4%相比相当高,这非常好。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601608 Past Earnings Growth June 6th 2024
SHSE:601608过去的盈利增长2024年6月6日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 601608? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者应该尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降(无论哪种情况)是否定价。这样做将有助于他们确定股票的未来前景是否有前途或不祥。市场是否为601608的未来前景定价?您可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is CITIC Heavy Industries Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中信重工是否有效地利用其利润?

CITIC Heavy Industries has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 32% (or a retention ratio of 68%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

中信重工的三年中位数派息比率为32%(或保留率为68%),并且如上所述,公司的盈利增长相当可观,这意味着该公司一直在有效地利用其利润。

Moreover, CITIC Heavy Industries is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

此外,我们从中信重工连续十年支付股息的长期历史推断出,该公司决心继续与股东分享利润。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that CITIC Heavy Industries has some positive attributes. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for CITIC Heavy Industries by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们认为中信重工具有一些积极因素。尽管其收益率较低,但事实是公司将其利润的很高一部分再投资于业务中,这无疑促成了其高的盈利增长。虽然我们不会完全拒绝该公司,但我们将尝试确定该业务的风险程度,以便作出更明智的决策。您可以在我们的风险仪表板免费在我们的平台上。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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