Does Hengtong Logistics (SHSE:603223) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Hengtong Logistics (SHSE:603223) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hengtong Logistics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603223) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
沃伦·巴菲特曾说:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你考虑一个公司的风险时,检查其资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务通常是企业破产的成因之一。恒通股份股份有限公司(SHSE:603223)确实有债务,但更重要的问题是,这些债务造成了多大的风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是凭借自身的现金流量。在最坏的情况下,一家公司如果无法偿还债务,可能会破产。然而,更普遍(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。尽管如此,最常见的情况是,一家公司合理地管理其债务并为自身利益服务。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,首先要看现金和债务的总额。
What Is Hengtong Logistics's Net Debt?
恒通物流的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Hengtong Logistics had debt of CN¥547.6m, up from CN¥512.9m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.66b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.11b net cash.
下面的图像显示恒通物流有 CN¥547.6m 的债务,比一年前的 CN¥512.9m 增加。然而,它的资产负债表显示它持有 CN¥1.66b 的现金,因此它实际上有 CN¥1.11b 的净现金。
How Healthy Is Hengtong Logistics' Balance Sheet?
恒通股份的资产负债状况怎么样?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hengtong Logistics had liabilities of CN¥783.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥391.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.66b and CN¥297.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥779.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
从最新的资产负债表数据来看,恒通物流有CN¥783.1m的短期债务和超过CN¥391.6m的长期债务。另一方面,它持有CN¥1.66b的现金和CN¥297.4m的应收款项,这意味着它实际上有CN¥779.6m的净现金。比总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。
It's good to see that Hengtong Logistics has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Hengtong Logistics boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
能看到恒通物流的资产负债表上有足够多的流动性,表明其负债管理比较保守。由于其强大的净资产位置,它不太可能面临与借款人的问题。简而言之,恒通物流拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负载!
Even more impressive was the fact that Hengtong Logistics grew its EBIT by 118% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Hengtong Logistics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
更令人印象深刻的是,恒通物流在十二个月内将其 EBIT 增长了 118%。如果能保持这种增长,未来几年的债务将变得更加容易管理。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表很明显是起点。但恒通物流的收益将影响资产负债表未来的持续性。因此,在考虑债务时,无疑值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Hengtong Logistics may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Hengtong Logistics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,尽管税务机构可能会崇拜会计利润,但贷款人只接受现金。尽管恒通物流在资产负债表上有净现金,但看看企业将其利润(利息和税前利润)转换为自由现金流的能力还是很有趣的,这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。在过去三年中,恒通物流的自由现金流出现了大幅度的负增长。虽然投资者无疑期望这种情况会在不久的将来发生逆转,但这显然意味着它的债务利用更具风险性。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hengtong Logistics has CN¥1.11b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 118% over the last year. So we don't think Hengtong Logistics's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hengtong Logistics (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
虽然调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,恒通物流有 CN¥1.11b 的净现金和看起来不错的资产负债表。而且它在过去一年中以118%的速度增长了 EBIT,给我们留下了深刻的印象。因此,我们认为恒通物流的债务利用并不具有风险。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表很明显是起点。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每个公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现了恒通物流的两个警告信号(其中一个有点令人担忧!)你应该知道。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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