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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd's (SHSE:600809) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Incredible 493% Return Over the Last Five Years

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd's (SHSE:600809) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Incredible 493% Return Over the Last Five Years

在过去的五年里,山西兴华存粉酒厂(SHSE:600809)的投资者将非常满意他们惊人的493%的回报。
Simply Wall St ·  06/06 22:04

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600809) shareholders have seen the share price descend 10% over the month. But that does not change the realty that the stock's performance has been terrific, over five years. Indeed, the share price is up a whopping 470% in that time. So we don't think the recent decline in the share price means its story is a sad one. Of course what matters most is whether the business can improve itself sustainably, thus justifying a higher price. While the returns over the last 5 years have been good, we do feel sorry for those shareholders who haven't held shares that long, because the share price is down 31% in the last three years.

山西汾酒(SHSE:600809)的股东在过去一个月中看到股价下跌了10%。但这并不改变该股表现出色的事实,在过去的五年中,该股价格上涨了惊人的470%。因此,我们认为股价最近的下跌并不能说明它的前景不佳。当然,最重要的是业务能否持续改善自身,从而证明更高的价格是合理的。虽然过去五年的回报表现良好,但我们确实为那些没有持有那么长时间的股东感到遗憾,因为过去三年该股股价下跌了31%。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估过去5年的基本面,看看它们是否和股东的回报率相符。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股票价格并不总是反映公司价值的合理方式。考虑市场对公司的看法如何发生变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价的变动进行比较。股票价格并不总是反映公司价值的合理方式沃伦·巴菲特曾经描述过,股价并不总是理性地反映了企业的价值。评估市场对一家公司的情绪如何变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 48% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 42% average annual increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

在五年的股价增长中,山西汾酒(SHSE:600809)实现了每股收益(EPS)增长率每年48%的复合增长。这种EPS增长率相当接近股价的平均年增长率42%。这表明公司周围的市场情绪在那段时间里没有发生太大变化。事实上,股价似乎在很大程度上反映了EPS的增长。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600809 Earnings Per Share Growth June 7th 2024
SHSE:600809每股收益增长2024年6月7日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

值得注意的是,该公司的CEO的薪资低于相似规模公司的中位数。监控CEO的薪酬始终是值得的,但更重要的问题是公司是否会在今后几年中实现盈利增长。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,请在此处查看。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was 493%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

对于任何给定的股票,都要考虑总股东回报率以及股价回报率。 TSR包括任何分拆或折价募资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地描述了股票所产生的回报。我们注意到,对于山西汾酒(SHSE:600809),过去5年的TSR为493%,比上面提到的股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是其公司派发股息的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We're pleased to report that Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 18% over one year. And that does include the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 43% per year, is even more impressive. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我们很高兴地报告,山西汾酒(SHSE:600809)的股东已经获得了18%的总股东回报率。这当然包括股息。然而,五年的TSR为每年43%,更令人印象深刻。潜在的买家可能会认为他们已经错过了机会,但业务仍然可能处于高速增长中。虽然有必要考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但更重要的因素还有其他。例如,冒险-山西汾酒(SHSE:600809)有1个警告迹象我们认为您应该了解。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜的投资的人来说,这份与最近的内部购买有关的被低估公司的免费列表可能正是你需要的。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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