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Is Quechen Silicon Chemical (SHSE:605183) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Quechen Silicon Chemical (SHSE:605183) Using Too Much Debt?

确成股份(SHSE:605183)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  06/07 02:17

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Quechen Silicon Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605183) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

作为投资者,有些人认为波动性是评估风险的最好方式,而沃伦·巴菲特曾说:“波动性远非风险的同义词。”因此,当你思考任何给定股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会令一家公司沉船。我们可以看到,确成股份有限公司(SHSE:605183)确实在业务中使用了债务。但这个债务是否成为股东的担忧呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无力偿付债权人的款项,那么它就危在旦夕。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律责任,股东可能会一无所有地离开。然而,一个更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,公司必须以低价募集新的股本资本,从而永久稀释股东权益。然而,债务不仅能替代股权稀释,还可是一个企业在投资高回报的成长时所需的极好工具。当我们审查企业的债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平的结合情况。

How Much Debt Does Quechen Silicon Chemical Carry?

确成股份承担了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Quechen Silicon Chemical had CN¥61.6m of debt, up from CN¥50.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥730.0m in cash, so it actually has CN¥668.4m net cash.

如下所示,2024年3月底,确成股份的债务为人民币61.6万元,较去年的人民币50.3万元增加。单击图像以获取更多详细信息。但是,它的资产负债表显示,其持有人民币7.3亿元现金,因此实际上有人民币6.684亿的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:605183 Debt to Equity History June 7th 2024
SHSE:605183股票的债权与股权历史记录(2024年6月7日)

How Healthy Is Quechen Silicon Chemical's Balance Sheet?

确成股份的资产负债表状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Quechen Silicon Chemical had liabilities of CN¥405.5m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥221.3k falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥730.0m in cash and CN¥679.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.00b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,确成股份有人民币4.055亿元的一年内到期负债,以及后续时限为221.3千元的负债。与此相应的是,它有人民币7.3亿元的现金和人民币6.79亿元的应收款,这些应付款项将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有比所有板块多10亿元的流动资产。负债。

This surplus suggests that Quechen Silicon Chemical has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Quechen Silicon Chemical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这一盈余表明,确成股份拥有审慎的资产负债表,可以毫不困难地消除其债务。简单地说,确成股份拥有的现金超过债务,可以认为是它可以安全管理其债务的很好的迹象。

Also positive, Quechen Silicon Chemical grew its EBIT by 26% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Quechen Silicon Chemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

还有一个好消息,确成股份去年EBIT增长了26%,这应该更容易在未来偿还债务。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定确成股份是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果要了解专业人士的想法,您可能会发现对分析师利润预测的此免费报告感兴趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Quechen Silicon Chemical has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Quechen Silicon Chemical recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最后,企业需要有自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不足够。虽然确成股份的资产负债表上有净现金,但它的亏损也值得我们关注。在过去的三年中,确成股份录得的自由现金流为其EBIT的46%,比我们预期的要弱。这种低迷的现金转换使处理债务更加困难。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Quechen Silicon Chemical has CN¥668.4m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 26% over the last year. So is Quechen Silicon Chemical's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Quechen Silicon Chemical you should be aware of.

虽然调查公司的债务是明智的,但在这种情况下,确成股份拥有人民币6.684亿元的净现金和看起来很好的资产负债表。而且,在过去一年中,确成股份的EBIT增长了26%,给人留下了深刻印象。那确成股份的债务风险呢?在我们看来,不是。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点。但并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。例如,我们已经发现确成股份有一个警示信号,您应该注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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