Xencor, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:XNCR) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.7x and even P/S above 67x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Xencor Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for Xencor as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Xencor.
How Is Xencor's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Xencor's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 65% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 31% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% per year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 208% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Xencor is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As expected, our analysis of Xencor's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Xencor that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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