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Clarivate (NYSE:CLVT) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 78% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Clarivate (NYSE:CLVT) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 78% If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前投资Clarivate(纽交所:CLVT),投资者将会蒙受78%的损失。
Simply Wall St ·  06/07 08:21

As every investor would know, not every swing hits the sweet spot. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So take a moment to sympathize with the long term shareholders of Clarivate Plc (NYSE:CLVT), who have seen the share price tank a massive 78% over a three year period. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 31% lower in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 19% in the last 90 days.

正如每个投资者所知道的那样,并不是每次挥杆都能命中好球。但如果你经常遭受巨额损失,那么就有问题。因此,请花一点时间同情Clarivate Plc (NYSE:CLVT)的长期股东,他们已经看到股价在三年的时间内暴跌了78%。这足以使即使是最强大的人也有点不安。而最近一年的演示没有变得更加平稳,股价下跌了31%。股东最近的运气甚至更糟,股价在过去90天中下跌了19%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。

Clarivate wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

在过去的十二个月中,Clarivate并没有盈利,因此其股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的关系不大可能很强。有人说营业收入是我们的下一个最佳选择。当一家公司没有盈利时,我们通常希望看到良好的营业收入增长。这是因为快速的营业收入增长可以很容易地推断出利润,这通常是相当大的。

Over three years, Clarivate grew revenue at 18% per year. That's a pretty good rate of top-line growth. So it's hard to believe the share price decline of 21% per year is due to the revenue. More likely, the market was spooked by the cost of that revenue. This is exactly why investors need to diversify - even when a loss making company grows revenue, it can fail to deliver for shareholders.

在三年的时间里,Clarivate的营业收入每年增长18%,这是相当不错的营业收入增长率。因此,很难相信每年下跌21%的股价是由于营业收入造成的。更有可能的是,市场对这些营收成本感到紧张。这正是投资者需要分散投资的原因-即使是亏损的公司增长了营业收入,也可能未能为股东带来回报。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:CLVT Earnings and Revenue Growth June 7th 2024
NYSE:CLVT收益和营业收入增长2024年6月7日

Clarivate is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

Clarivate是一支知名的股票,有很多分析师进行了覆盖,表明未来增长有一定的可视性。因此,我们建议查看这份免费报告,展示共识预测。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Investors in Clarivate had a tough year, with a total loss of 31%, against a market gain of about 25%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. You could get a better understanding of Clarivate's growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

在Clarivate的投资者度过了一个艰难的一年,总损失为31%,而市场的增长约为25%。即使好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对商业基本指标有所改善之前,看到它们的企业增长。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年的年化收益下跌了10%还糟糕。一般来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个不好的迹象,尽管逆势投资者可能希望研究该股票,以期实现逆转。通过查看这个更详细的历史收益、营业收入和现金流的图表,您可以更好地了解Clarivate的增长情况。

We will like Clarivate better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些内部大额购买,我们会更喜欢Clarivate。当我们等待时,请查看这个免费的被低估股票名单(主要是小市值股票),其中包括相当多的近期内部购买。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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