share_log

Anhui Xinhua Media (SHSE:601801) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Anhui Xinhua Media (SHSE:601801) Could Easily Take On More Debt

皖新传媒(SHSE:601801)可以轻松承担更多债务。
Simply Wall St ·  06/07 18:19

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601801) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理陆杉(也受到查理·芒格的支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。” 当你考虑一家公司的风险时,审查它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当企业崩溃时通常涉及到债务。我们可以看到皖新传媒股份有限公司(SHSE:601801)在商业中使用债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否会使公司变得风险更高。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务对一家公司是有利的,除非公司无法用新资本或自由现金流偿还债务,否则就是它的灾难性结果。公司如果无法偿还债务,最坏的情况下是破产。尽管这种情况并不普遍,我们经常会看到负债的公司因为当债权人强制他们以低于正常价格的方式募集资本而不断地稀释股东的股权。当然了,债务可以是一种重要的工具,尤其是对于有体量业务的企业而言。当我们考虑一家公司对债务的利用情况时,首先要看的是现金和债务的总量。

What Is Anhui Xinhua Media's Net Debt?

皖新传媒的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Anhui Xinhua Media had CN¥1.30b of debt, up from CN¥288.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥10.9b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥9.65b.

正如您下面所看到的,截至2024年3月底,皖新传媒债务总额为13亿元,比一年前的2,889万元增加了一个数量级。请点击图片了解更多详情。然而,它确实有109亿元现金抵消,使净现金达到96.5亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601801 Debt to Equity History June 7th 2024
SHSE:601801股本负债历史2024年6月7日

How Strong Is Anhui Xinhua Media's Balance Sheet?

皖新传媒的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Anhui Xinhua Media had liabilities of CN¥6.73b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥932.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥10.9b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.40b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥5.68b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最近披露的资产负债表,皖新传媒的负债包括由在12个月内到期的67.3亿元和12个月后到期的9320万元。抵消这些负债,它有109亿元的现金以及24亿元应于12个月内收回的应收账款。因此,它实际上拥有56.8亿元。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Anhui Xinhua Media's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Anhui Xinhua Media has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种过剩的流动性表明皖新传媒的资产负债表几乎与福特诺克斯一样强。从这个角度来看,借款人应该感到非常安全。简而言之,皖新传媒拥有的现金多于债务这一事实可以认为是它能够安全管理债务的一个好的迹象。

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Anhui Xinhua Media has boosted its EBIT by 42%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Anhui Xinhua Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

除此之外,我们很高兴地报告,皖新传媒已经增加了42%的EBIt,从而减少了未来债务偿还的恶魔。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到了关于债务的大部分信息。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定皖新传媒是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的思路,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Anhui Xinhua Media may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Anhui Xinhua Media actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金而不是会计利润偿还债务。皖新传媒的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但是看看它的收益(利润前利息和税前)转化为自由现金流的能力有多强,这仍然很有趣,因为这将影响它管理债务的需要和能力。在过去的三年中,皖新传媒实际上生产的自由现金流超过了EBIt。作为贷款人保持良好关系的有力手段,没有什么比收到现金更好的了。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anhui Xinhua Media has CN¥9.65b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥144m, being 160% of its EBIT. At the end of the day we're not concerned about Anhui Xinhua Media's debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Anhui Xinhua Media is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

虽然调查公司的债务水平总是明智的,但在这种情况下,皖新传媒有96.5亿元的净现金和看起来不错的资产负债表。它用自由现金流14400万元,相当于160%的EBIt的表现给我们留下了深刻印象。总的来说,我们不关心皖新传媒的债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存于资产负债表之内-反之则然。请注意,在我们的投资分析中,皖新传媒出现了2个警示信号,其中1个不应被忽视……

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发