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Is Jinhui Mining Incorporation (SHSE:603132) A Risky Investment?

Is Jinhui Mining Incorporation (SHSE:603132) A Risky Investment?

金汇矿业股份有限公司(SHSE:603132)是一项危险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/08 21:33

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jinhui Mining Incorporation Limited (SHSE:603132) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险程度时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务超载会导致灾难性后果。我们可以看到,金汇矿业股份有限公司(SHSE:603132)在其业务中确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是这些债务是否会使公司更加风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助一家企业,直到企业无法用新的资本或自由现金流偿还债务为止。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能什么也得不到。但更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以廉价的股价稀释股东权益,以控制债务。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表了廉价资本,尤其是当它代替了具有高投资回报率的公司的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用情况时,我们首先看现金和债务的共同使用。

What Is Jinhui Mining Incorporation's Debt?

金汇矿业股份有限公司的债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Jinhui Mining Incorporation had CN¥2.82b of debt, up from CN¥1.62b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥1.26b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.56b.

正如下图所示,截至2024年3月底,金汇矿业股份有限公司的债务为人民币2.82亿元,比一年前的1.62亿元增加。点击图片以获取更多详细信息。不过,它确实有12.6亿元的现金抵消这笔债务,导致净债务约为1.56亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603132 Debt to Equity History June 9th 2024
SHSE:603132的股权负债历史 2024年6月9日

How Healthy Is Jinhui Mining Incorporation's Balance Sheet?

金汇矿业股份有限公司的资产负债表看起来如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jinhui Mining Incorporation had liabilities of CN¥2.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.03b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.26b and CN¥38.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.83b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

进一步观察最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,金汇矿业股份有限公司的短期负债为2.10亿元,超过12个月到期的负债为1.03亿元。另一方面,它有12.6亿元的现金和0.384亿元的一年内应收账款。因此,它的负债总额超过了1.83亿元,超过了其现金和短期应收账款的总和。

Of course, Jinhui Mining Incorporation has a market capitalization of CN¥13.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

当然,金汇矿业股份有限公司的市值为13.9亿元,因此这些负债可能很好管理。但是债务足够多,我们肯定建议股东继续监控资产负债表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。

Jinhui Mining Incorporation's net debt of 2.2 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.8 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Notably Jinhui Mining Incorporation's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jinhui Mining Incorporation's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

金汇矿业股份有限公司的净债务/税息折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)2.2倍表明它债务使用得很得当。而其有吸引力的利息覆盖率(利息费用的EBIT 7.8倍)则肯定有助于解除担忧。值得注意的是,金汇矿业股份有限公司的EBIT在过去一年中基本上保持不变。理想情况下,它可以通过启动盈利增长来减轻负债负担。资产负债表显然是研究债务的关键领域。但是,最终决定金汇矿业股份有限公司能否保持健康的资产负债表的,还是未来的盈利。因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师的盈利预测报告很有趣。没有最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。因此,我们始终查看EBIT中有多少被转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,金汇矿业股份有限公司的自由现金流价值相当于其EBIT的82%,这比我们通常预期的更强。这使得它在偿还债务方面处于非常强势的地位。金汇矿业股份有限公司将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力表明该公司可以像Cristiano Ronaldo对一个14岁门将进球那样轻松地处理其债务。我们还认为它的利息覆盖率是正面的。考虑到所有这些数据,我们认为金汇矿业股份有限公司采取了相当明智的负债做法。虽然这会带来一些风险,但也可以为股东带来更高的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显地点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内-远非如此。因此,您应该了解我们发现的2个警告信号(其中1个令人担忧),学习更多信息。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jinhui Mining Incorporation recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 82% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最后,一个企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。因此,我们始终查看EBIT中有多少被转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,金汇矿业股份有限公司的自由现金流相当于其EBIT的82%,这比我们通常预期的更强。这使得它在偿还债务方面处于非常强势的地位。

Our View

我们的观点

Jinhui Mining Incorporation's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And we also thought its interest cover was a positive. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Jinhui Mining Incorporation takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jinhui Mining Incorporation (including 1 which is concerning) .

金汇矿业股份有限公司将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力表明该公司可以像Cristiano Ronaldo对一个14岁门将进球那样轻松地处理其债务。我们还认为它的利息覆盖率是正面的。考虑到所有这些数据,我们认为金汇矿业股份有限公司采取了相当明智的负债做法。虽然这会带来一些风险,但也可以为股东带来更高的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显地点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内-远非如此。因此,您应该了解我们发现的2个警告信号(其中1个令人担忧),学习更多信息。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你属于那种希望购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者类型,那么今天就不要犹豫,立即查看我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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