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Is Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology (SHSE:688147) A Risky Investment?

Is Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology (SHSE:688147) A Risky Investment?

江苏Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology (SHSE:688147)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  06/09 22:37

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology Ltd (SHSE:688147) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,江苏微导纳米设备技术有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688147)也使用债务。但更重要的问题是:债务创造了多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology's Net Debt?

江苏微导纳米设备科技的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology had CN¥1.04b of debt, up from CN¥268.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.21b in cash, so it actually has CN¥170.2m net cash.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,江苏微导纳米设备科技的债务为10.4元人民币,高于去年同期的26890万元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有12.1元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有17020万元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688147 Debt to Equity History June 10th 2024
SHSE: 688147 2024 年 6 月 10 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology's Balance Sheet?

江苏微导纳米设备科技的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology had liabilities of CN¥5.88b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥268.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.21b in cash and CN¥888.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.05b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,江苏微导纳米设备科技的负债为58.8元人民币,将在一年内到期,在此之后到期的负债为26860万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有12.1元人民币的现金和88840万元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出40.5元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥13.3b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为江苏微导纳米设备科技的市值为133元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但很明显,我们一定要仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但江苏微导纳米设备科技的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。

Even more impressive was the fact that Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology grew its EBIT by 2,810% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

更令人印象深刻的是,江苏微导纳米设备科技有限公司的息税前利润在十二个月内增长了2810%。如果这种增长得以维持,将使未来几年的债务更加易于管理。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定江苏微导纳米设备科技能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管江苏微导纳米设备科技的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,江苏微导纳米设备科技总共出现了可观的负自由现金流。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总结

While Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥170.2m. And we liked the look of last year's 2,810% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we are not troubled with Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Jiangsu Leadmicro Nano-Equipment Technology has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

尽管江苏微导纳米设备科技的负债确实多于流动资产,但其净现金也为17020万元人民币。我们喜欢去年息税前利润同比增长2810%的样子。因此,我们对江苏微导纳米设备科技的债务使用并不感到困扰。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,江苏微导纳米设备科技有1个警告标志,我们认为您应该注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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