Here's Why Mesnac (SZSE:002073) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Mesnac (SZSE:002073) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Mesnac Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002073) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格的支持)曾说:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动性,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。” 当你检查公司的风险时,考虑到债务通常是企业崩溃时涉及的因素,因此考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的选择。 我们可以发现,美思诺股份有限公司(SZSE:002073)在业务中确实使用了债务。 那么这个债务对股东来说是个问题吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人,那么它就只能受制于债权人了。 创意毁灭是资本主义的一部分,失败的企业将被银行家无情地清算。 当然,债务在企业中可能是一个重要的工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业。 当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先会考虑现金和债务的总和。
What Is Mesnac's Net Debt?
美思诺的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Mesnac had CN¥2.27b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.74b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.20b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.94b net cash position.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,美思诺有22.7亿人民币的债务,比一年前的17.4亿人民币增加了。 但另一方面,它也有42亿元人民币的现金和19.4亿人民币的净现金位置。
How Strong Is Mesnac's Balance Sheet?
从最近的资产负债表中我们可以看到,美思诺有985亿元人民币的债务在一年内到期,还有115亿元人民币的到期后债务。 其中现金42亿元人民币,还有应收账款217亿元人民币在12个月内到期。 因此,它的债务合计比其现金和短期应收账款多463亿元人民币。
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Mesnac had liabilities of CN¥9.85b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.15b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.20b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.17b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.63b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
相对于其市场资本化的752亿元人民币而言,这是一座超级大的杠杆。 如果其债权人要求其增加资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重稀释。 虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但美思诺的现金比债务还要多,因此我们非常有信心地认为它可以安全地管理其债务。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.52b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Mesnac also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
另外,我们很高兴地报告,美思诺的EBIT增长了46%,从而降低了未来偿还债务的风险。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个显而易见的起点。 但它是美思诺的盈利状况将影响资产负债表如何在未来持续。 因此,如果你想更深入地了解其收益情况,可以查看它的长期收益趋势图。
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Mesnac has boosted its EBIT by 46%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Mesnac's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
最后,虽然税务机构可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受现金。 美思诺的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但我们还是有兴趣看看企业如何将利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。 在过去的三年中,美思诺的自由现金流累计大幅为负。 虽然这可能是为了增长而支出的结果,但它确实使债务变得更加危险。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Mesnac may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Mesnac saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
虽然美思诺的负债比流动资产多,但它也有19.4亿元人民币的净现金。 过去一年中,它的EBIT增长了46%,这让我们印象深刻。 因此,我们对美思诺的债务使用并不担忧。 从资产负债表中我们能够了解更多关于债务的信息。然而,不是所有的投资风险都在资产负债表中,我们发现了美思诺的两个警示信号,了解它们应该是你投资过程中的一部分。
Summing Up
总之
While Mesnac does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥1.94b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 46% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Mesnac's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Mesnac , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
所以,尽管美思诺的负资产比流动资产多,但它也有19.4亿元人民币的净现金。我们对其过去一年中EBIT增长了46%印象深刻。 因此,我们不担心美思诺的债务使用。 我们当然从资产负债表中能够了解更多关于债务的信息,但并不是所有的投资风险都在资产负债表中,我们已经发现了美思诺的两个警告信号,并了解它们应该是投资过程中的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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