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While Shareholders of Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd (SHSE:600178) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate

While Shareholders of Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd (SHSE:600178) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate

虽然哈尔滨东安汽车发动机股份有限公司的股东在过去5年里盈利,但购买一周以上的股票的人就不那么幸运了。
Simply Wall St ·  06/10 02:50

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the Harbin Dongan Auto Engine Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600178) share price is up 78% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 9.9% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 56% in the last year, including dividends.

一般来说,积极的股票挑选的目的是找到提供超过市场平均回报的公司。尽管积极的股票挑选存在风险(需要分散投资),但它也可以提供超额回报。例如,东安动力股份有限公司(SHSE:600178)股价在过去5年中上涨了78%,明显超过市场年回报约为9.9%(不考虑分红派息)。然而,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,包括分红派息,股票在过去一年中仅上涨了56%。

In light of the stock dropping 8.6% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

鉴于该股过去一周下跌了8.6%,我们想调查更长期的情况,看看基本面是否是公司五年回报率的推动因素。

While Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

虽然东安动力股份有限公司在过去一年中获得了微薄的利润,但我们认为目前市场可能更关注营业收入的增长。通常情况下,我们认为这种公司更类似于亏损的股票,因为实际利润很低。要让股东对公司将大幅增长利润充满信心,它必须增加营业收入。在过去的5年中,东安动力股份有限公司年复合营业收入增长达18%。这远高于大多数未盈利公司。很高兴看到股票增长了12%,但考虑到营业收入显示强劲增长,这并不完全令人惊讶。如果强劲的营业收入增长持续下去,我们希望股票价格会在适当的时间跟随上涨。市场没有完全为潜在业务增长定价的地方才是机会所在。

In the last 5 years Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd saw its revenue grow at 18% per year. That's well above most pre-profit companies. It's good to see that the stock has 12%, but not entirely surprising given revenue shows strong growth. If the strong revenue growth continues, we'd hope to see the share price to follow, in time. Opportunity lies where the market hasn't fully priced growth in the underlying business.

股票回报率仅反映股票价格的变化,而TSR包括股息的价值(假设它们被再投资)和任何折扣的融资或剥离的利益。可以说,TSR提供了更全面的股票回报图景。恰好,东安动力股份有限公司过去5年的TSR为81%,超过了前面提到的股票回报率。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

你可以在下面的图片中看到收入和营业收入随时间的变化情况(单击图表可查看精确值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600178 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 10th 2024
SHSE:600178收益和营收增长2024年6月10日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在这个免费的互动图表中看到它的资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而加强(或削弱)。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was 81%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报我们很高兴地报告,东安动力股份有限公司股东在一年内获得了总股东回报56%,包括分红。 这比过去半个十年的年化回报13%更好,说明公司最近的表现更好。持乐观态度的人可以将TSR的最近改善视为表明业务本身随着时间的推移正在变得更好。虽然考虑市场条件可能对股票价格产生的不同影响非常值得,但其他更重要的因素也存在。例如,投资风险的隐患。我们已经确定了东安动力股份有限公司的3个警示标志(至少有1个与我们不太合适),了解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

We're pleased to report that Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 56% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

总的来说,积极的股票挑选的目的是找到提供超过市场平均回报的公司。尽管积极的股票挑选存在风险(需要分散投资),但它也可以提供超额回报。例如,东安动力股份有限公司(SHSE:600178)股价在过去5年中上涨了78%,明显超过市场年回报约为9.9%(不考虑分红派息)。然而,最近的回报并不像那样令人印象深刻,包括分红派息,股票在过去一年中仅上涨了56%。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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