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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About The St. Joe Company (NYSE:JOE)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About The St. Joe Company (NYSE:JOE)?

股票下跌和基本面实力雄厚:市场对圣乔公司(纽交所:JOE)是否错判?
Simply Wall St ·  06/10 06:30

St. Joe (NYSE:JOE) has had a rough month with its share price down 6.0%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study St. Joe's ROE in this article.

St. Joe (纽交所: JOE) 的股价在过去的一个月里一路走低,下跌了6.0%。然而,股价通常受到公司长期的财务表现驱动,而在这种情况下,前景相当有希望。具体而言,我们在本文中决定研究 St. Joe 的 ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

roe或权益回报率是评估公司有效利用股东投资产生回报效率的有用工具。简而言之,roe显示每个股东投资所产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for St. Joe is:

所以,根据上述公式,St. Joe 的 ROE 为:

11% = US$78m ÷ US$705m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

11% = 7800万美元 ÷ 7.05亿美元 (基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.11 in profit.

“回报”是指过去十二个月的税后收益。这意味着公司每1美元的股东权益,产生了0.11美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE对于盈利增长的重要性是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,roe是一种有效的盈利增长衡量标准,用于评估公司未来盈利的能力,根据公司选择重新投资或“保留”其利润的数量,我们可以评估公司未来的盈利能力。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留越高,与没有这些特征的公司相比,公司的增长速度就越高。

St. Joe's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

St. Joe 的盈利增长和11%的 ROE

To start with, St. Joe's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 4.7% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for St. Joe's significant 26% net income growth seen over the past five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

首先,St. Joe 的 ROE 看起来是可以接受的。特别是与行业平均水平4.7%相比,公司的 ROE 显得相当令人印象深刻。这可能为 St. Joe 过去五年里显著的26%净利润增长奠定了基础。我们认为这里也可能有其他因素起作用,例如高收益留存或有效的管理。

We then compared St. Joe's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 15% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将 St. Joe 的净利润增长与行业进行比较,很高兴看到该公司的增长速度高于同一 5 年期间增长速度为 15% 的行业。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:JOE Past Earnings Growth June 10th 2024
纽交所: JOE 过去的盈利增长情况 2024年6月10日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if St. Joe is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长有关。投资者应该试图确定预期的盈利增长或下降是否已经定价。然后,这有助于他们判断股票的前景是光明还是黯淡。预期盈利增长的一个良好指标是 P/E 比率,它根据股票的盈利前景确定市场愿意支付的价格。因此,您可能希望检查 St. Joe 是否以相对于行业而言的高 P/E 比率或低 P/E 比率交易。

Is St. Joe Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

St. Joe 是否有效地利用了其留存收益?

The three-year median payout ratio for St. Joe is 27%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 73%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and St. Joe is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

St. Joe 的三年中值红利支付比率为27%,相对较低。公司可以留存其余的73%。看起来,红利得到了良好的覆盖,并且 St. Joe 正在有效地重新投资其利润,正如我们上面所讨论的增长表现。

Additionally, St. Joe has paid dividends over a period of three years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

此外,St. Joe 已经连续三年支付红利,这意味着该公司非常重视与股东分享其利润。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that St. Joe's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Not to forget, share price outcomes are also dependent on the potential risks a company may face. So it is important for investors to be aware of the risks involved in the business. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for St. Joe by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们认为 St. Joe 的表现相当不错。特别是,我们喜欢公司大量重投其业务,并获得高回报率。不出所料,这导致了令人印象深刻的盈利增长。如果公司继续以其已有的方式增长其盈利,那么这可能会对其股价产生积极影响,因为每股收益对长期股价产生影响。不要忘记,股价结果也取决于公司可能面临的潜在风险。因此,投资者有必要了解业务中存在的风险。您可以通过访问我们的网站查看我们为 St. Joe 确定的 1 项风险。风险仪表板在浏览完所有相关因素确定股票购买价格后,ROE是一个有用的公司质量指标。此外,还需要考虑其他因素,例如未来盈利增长以及未来需要投入多少投资。因此,我认为值得查看这份免费的详细收益、营收和现金流图表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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