Shanghai Fortune Techgroup (SZSE:300493) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Shanghai Fortune Techgroup (SZSE:300493) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300493) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
沃伦•巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性远非风险的同义词。” 当你考虑一家公司的风险程度时,查看企业负债表是很自然的,因为企业破产通常涉及债务。 我们注意到,润欣科技(SZSE:300493)的负债表上确实有债务。 但更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多少风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么它只能依赖于他们。 资本主义的一部分是 “创新破坏” 的过程,失败的企业会被银行家无情地清算。 然而,更常见的(但仍然昂贵)情况是公司必须以低廉的股票价格稀释股东,以控制债务。 当然,债务可以是企业的重要工具,特别是是对于资本密集的企业。 考虑企业采用的债务规模时,首先要做的是将其现金和负债结合起来看。
What Is Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's Debt?
润欣科技的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup had debt of CN¥133.3m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥177.5m over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥310.2m in cash, leading to a CN¥176.9m net cash position.
以下图片(可单击以获得更多详细信息)显示,截至2024年3月,润欣科技的债务为1.333亿元人民币,较去年的1.775亿元人民币减少。 另一方面,它也拥有3.102亿元人民币的现金,导致净现金头寸为1.769亿元人民币。
How Healthy Is Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's Balance Sheet?
润欣科技的资产负债表状况如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup had liabilities of CN¥591.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥26.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥310.2m and CN¥755.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥448.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
从最近的资产负债表上,我们可以看出,润欣科技在一年内到期的负债为5.91亿元人民币,超过一年到期的负债为268万元人民币。 另一方面,它拥有3.102亿元人民币的现金和7.558亿元人民币的应收账款。 因此,它实际上拥有4.481亿元人民币的资产。比总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shanghai Fortune Techgroup boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种短期流动性是润欣科技可以轻松偿还债务的迹象,因为它的资产负债表远未过度纠结。 简而言之,润欣科技拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
In fact Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 30% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Fortune Techgroup can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
事实上,润欣科技的拯救之道是其较低的债务水平,因为其利润(EBIT)在过去十二个月中下降了30%。 日益下降的收益(如果趋势继续)可能会使即使是适度的债务也相当危险。 从资产负债表中没有疑问地可以了解到债务的情况。但最终商业的未来盈利能力将决定润欣科技能否随时间加强其资产负债表。 因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现利润预测的分析师免费报告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Shanghai Fortune Techgroup may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Shanghai Fortune Techgroup burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,尽管税务机构可以崇拜会计利润,但借款人只接受冷硬的现金。 尽管润欣科技在资产负债表上拥有净现金,但查看企业将其利润(主营业务利润)转化为自由现金流的能力非常有趣,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。 在过去的三年中,润欣科技烧掉了很多现金。 虽然投资者毫无疑问地期望这种情况很快会有所改变,但明确表明其债务使用处于更高风险水平。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup has net cash of CN¥176.9m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's balance sheet. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's earnings per share history for free.
尽管我们对债务担忧的投资者表示同情,但您应谨记,润欣科技拥有1.769亿元人民币的净现金,并且比其负债更多的是流动资产。 因此,尽管我们看到了一些需要改进的地方,但我们对润欣科技的资产负债表不太担心。 最重要的是,我们认为跟踪每股收益增长的速度特别重要,无论增长快慢。 如果您也有这种认识,那么您很幸运,因为今天您可以免费查看润欣科技每股收益历史的交互式图表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。