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Is Wingtech TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600745) A Risky Investment?

Is Wingtech TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600745) A Risky Investment?

Wingtech Technology Ltd(SHSE:600745)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/11 00:19

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Wingtech Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600745) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。” 当您考虑一家公司有多大风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务往往是企业倒闭时涉及到的。我们注意到,闻泰科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600745)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,这项债务是否会令股东感到担忧呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务帮助企业直至企业难以偿还其债务,无论是通过新资本还是通过自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”过程,其中银行家无情地清算失败的企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以较低的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,有很多公司使用债务来支持业务增长,而没有任何负面后果。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的就是同时查看其现金和债务。

What Is Wingtech TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?

闻泰科技股份有限公司的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Wingtech TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥16.8b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥18.0b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥6.71b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥10.1b.

下面的图片(可单击以获取更多细节)显示,闻泰科技股份有限公司于2024年3月底负债168亿元人民币,较去年同期的180亿元人民币有所减少。但是,由于它拥有6.71亿元人民币的现金储备,因此其净债务为约101亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600745 Debt to Equity History June 11th 2024
SHSE:600745资产负债表历史中的债务股本比2024年6月11日

A Look At Wingtech TechnologyLtd's Liabilities

查看闻泰科技股份有限公司的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Wingtech TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥25.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥11.9b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.71b and CN¥10.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥20.3b.

根据最后报告的资产负债表,闻泰科技股份有限公司于12个月内应付的负债为255亿元人民币,超过12个月的负债为119亿元人民币。另一方面,它拥有6.71亿元人民币的现金和104亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和203亿元人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because Wingtech TechnologyLtd is worth CN¥36.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

这种赤字并不太糟糕,因为闻泰科技股份有限公司价值360亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能足以筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但是,我们一定要留意其债务是否带来了过多的风险。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。

Wingtech TechnologyLtd has net debt worth 2.0 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 6.2 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly, Wingtech TechnologyLtd's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 20% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wingtech TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

闻泰科技股份有限公司的净债务相当于EBITDA的2.0倍,这并不算太多,但其利息覆盖率看起来有些低,因为EBIT仅相当于利息支出的6.2倍。虽然这不会引起我太多的担忧,但它确实表明利息支付有些负担。重要的是,闻泰科技股份有限公司的EBIT在过去十二个月中惊人地下降了20%。如果这种下跌持续下去,那么偿还债务将比在素食主义者大会上出售鹅肝还难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的开始。但是,未来的收益,尤其是,将决定闻泰科技股份有限公司的资产负债表健康状况是否能够保持稳健。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师盈利预测的免费报告感兴趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Wingtech TechnologyLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计收益并不能满足要求。因此,检查多少EBIT由自由现金流支持是值得的。在过去三年中,闻泰科技股份有限公司烧掉了大量现金。虽然投资者无疑期望这种情况会在适当的时间内逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Wingtech TechnologyLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider Wingtech TechnologyLtd to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Wingtech TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦白地说,闻泰科技股份有限公司的EBIT转换为自由现金流的情况以及其不断增长的EBIT的记录使我们对其债务水平感到不舒服。但至少其利息覆盖率并不那么糟糕。我们非常清楚,由于其资产负债表健康状况,我们认为闻泰科技股份有限公司确实相当风险,所以我们对这个股票的警惕程度几乎如同一个饥饿的小猫进入主人的鱼池一样高——一旦受过伤,就会对此避之不及。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都源于资产负债表——远非如此。例如,我们已经发现了两个警告信号,这是您在投资这里之前应该知道的。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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