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The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Harbin Electric (HKG:1133) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Harbin Electric (HKG:1133) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

哈尔滨电气(HKG:1133)五年内潜在盈利增长令人鼓舞,但股东们在此期间仍有亏损。
Simply Wall St ·  06/11 19:12

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Harbin Electric Company Limited (HKG:1133), since the last five years saw the share price fall 36%. On top of that, the share price is down 7.8% in the last week.

对于许多投资者来说,投资的主要目的是实现高于整体市场的回报。但是,每个投资者都几乎肯定会有表现良好和表现不佳的股票。在此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们对哈尔滨电气股份有限公司(HKG:1133)的投资,因为过去五年股价已经下跌了36%。另外,股价在过去一周下跌了7.8%。

With the stock having lost 7.8% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

由于股价上周下跌了7.8%,因此值得关注业务表现,看看是否存在任何红旗。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:在短期内,市场是投票机,但在长期内,市场是称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格的时间变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度随时间而变化。

During five years of share price growth, Harbin Electric moved from a loss to profitability. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

在股价增长的五年中,哈尔滨电气从亏损转变为盈利。大多数人认为这是一件好事,所以看到股价下跌是违反直觉的。其他指标可能更好地解释了股价的变动。

Revenue is actually up 2.3% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

营业收入实际上在该时段内增长了2.3%。因此,似乎必须更仔细地审查基本面,以了解股价下跌的原因。毕竟,可能存在机会。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1133 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 11th 2024
HKEX:1133盈利和营收增长2024年6月11日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for Harbin Electric in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。关注CEO薪酬始终是值得的,但更重要的问题是公司是否会在未来的几年中增长盈利。您可以在未来利润预测的交互式图表中查看分析师对哈尔滨电气的预测。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Investors in Harbin Electric had a tough year, with a total loss of 10% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 4.8%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Harbin Electric has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

哈尔滨电气的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总损失达10%(包括股息),而市场则获得了约4.8%的收益。即使是不错的股票价格有时也会下跌,但是我们希望在有兴趣之前看到企业基本指标的改善。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年的年化亏损6%还要糟糕。我们意识到巴伦 · 罗斯柴尔德曾经说过投资者应该“在街上有血的时候买进”,但我们提醒投资者首先确保他们购买了一家高品质企业。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响是非常值得的,但还有更重要的因素。例如,风险 -哈尔滨电气有2个警告标志,我们认为您应该了解。

But note: Harbin Electric may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:哈尔滨电气可能不是最好的股票买入选择。因此,浏览以下免费的有过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了当前在香港证券交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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