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Should Weakness in Joyoung Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002242) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in Joyoung Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002242) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

九阳股份(SZSE:002242)股票走弱可视为市场会在基本面良好的情况下调整股价的信号吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/11 21:28

With its stock down 5.7% over the past month, it is easy to disregard JoyoungLtd (SZSE:002242). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to JoyoungLtd's ROE today.

在过去的一个月里,沃特世股价下跌了5.7%,我们很容易就会忽略它。但股票价格通常是长期受到公司财务的驱动,而在这种情况下 JoyoungLtd 的财务情况看起来相当可观。特别是今天我们将关注 JoyoungLtd 的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(净资产收益率)是股东需考虑的一个重要因素,因为它告诉他们资本被有效地再投资的效果如何。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for JoyoungLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,JOYOUngLtd的roe为:

11% = CN¥399m ÷ CN¥3.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

11%= CN¥3.99亿 ÷ CN¥36亿 (基于最近12个月截至2024年3月的数字).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.11 in profit.

“回报”是企业在过去一年内赚取的收入。一个概念化的方法是,对于每一元人民币的股东资本,公司赚取0.11元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力,我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE是一家公司盈利能力的衡量标准。基于公司选择重新投资或“保留”的利润的数量,我们随后能够评估公司未来产生利润的能力。假设其他所有条件不变,ROE和利润保留越高,增长率就相对较高,与那些可能不具备这些特征的公司相比,增长更快。

JoyoungLtd's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

JoyoungLtd 的净利润增长及 11% 的roe

To start with, JoyoungLtd's ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 9.8% the company's ROE looks quite decent. However, while JoyoungLtd has a pretty respectable ROE, its five year net income decline rate was 14% . So, there might be some other aspects that could explain this. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,JoyoungLtd 的roe看起来是可以接受的。即使与行业平均水平的 9.8% 相比,公司的roe也相当不错。然而,尽管 JoyoungLtd 的roe相当可观,但其五年净利润下降率达到了14%。因此,可能还有其他方面可以解释这种情况。例如,公司的支付比率很高,或者业务的资本配置不佳等等。

That being said, we compared JoyoungLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 6.1% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将 JoyoungLtd 的表现与行业进行了比较,并发现虽然公司的收益缩水,但同一5年期间行业的收益增长率达到了6.1%。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002242 Past Earnings Growth June 12th 2024
沃特世股票SZSE:002242过去的收益增长情况 2024年6月12日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about JoyoungLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者了解市场是否已经反映了公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)是非常重要的。如此一来,他们就会明白股票是朝着清晰的未来前进还是陷入泥泞的漩涡。如果您想了解 JoyoungLtd 的价值,可以查看其市盈率与行业平均水平相比的情况。

Is JoyoungLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

JoyoungLtd是否有效利用其利润?

JoyoungLtd's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 79% (or a retention ratio of 21%). With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely.

JoyoungLtd 的盈利下降并不令人意外,考虑到公司将其大部分利润用于支付分红,其三年期的中位数支付比率达到了79%(或留存比率为21%)。由于留给企业再投资自身的资金极少,因此收益的增长可能性非常低。

In addition, JoyoungLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 36% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 14% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,JoyoungLtd 已经连续十年支付股利,这意味着即使以企业增长为代价,管理层仍然会尽力维持股息水平。现有的分析师预测表明,公司未来三年的支付比率预计将降至36%。公司的ROE预计将在同一时期上升到14%。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that JoyoungLtd has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体而言,我们认为 JoyoungLtd 具有一些积极的属性。尽管我们对高roe的公司收益缺乏增长感到失望,但要记住,该公司只重新投资其少量利润,这意味着投资者无法享受高回报率的好处。尽管如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师们预计该公司的收益增长率会大幅提高。如果您想了解更多关于该公司未来收益增长预测的信息,请查看该公司的分析师预测报告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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