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Is Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery (SZSE:002158) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery (SZSE:002158) A Risky Investment?

汉钟精机(SZSE:002158)是一个高风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/11 21:36

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002158) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

正如戴维·艾本所说,“波动性并不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。”因此,聪明的投资者似乎知道,债务——通常与破产有关——是评估公司风险的非常重要的因素。就像许多其他公司一样, 汉钟精机股份有限公司(上交所:002158)也使用债务。但这种债务是否对股东构成了一个担忧?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流偿还债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以接管企业。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低价股票稀释股东的权益来控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长而没有任何负面影响。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先要结合现金和债务来看。

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Carry?

汉钟精机有多少债务?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery had CN¥1.07b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.27b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.20b net cash.

下面的图表(单击可放大)显示,汉钟精机于2024年3月拥有10.7亿元人民币的债务,与去年大致相同。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有22.7亿元的现金,因此它实际上有12亿元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002158 Debt to Equity History June 12th 2024
上交所:002158债务股本比历史记录2024年6月12日

How Healthy Is Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery's Balance Sheet?

汉钟精机的资产负债表如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery had liabilities of CN¥2.53b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥230.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.27b and CN¥1.24b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥758.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,汉钟精机有253亿元的短期负债和2307万元的长期负债。另一方面,在一年内,它有资金达到22.7亿元和10.24亿元的应收账款。所以它实际上拥有7,586万元。这种短期流动性是汉钟精机能够轻松偿还债务的迹象,因为它的资产负债表还远未过度臃肿。简而言之,汉钟精机拥有的现金比债务更多的事实,可能是它可以安全地管理债务的很好指标。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

此外,汉钟精机在过去12个月内使其税息折旧前利润增长了36%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。显然,资产负债表是分析债务的领域。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定汉钟精机是否能逐步加强其资产负债表。所以,如果您想了解专业人士的想法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告感兴趣。

On top of that, Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery grew its EBIT by 36% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸上的利润来偿还债务;它需要冰冷的现金。尽管汉钟精机在资产负债表上有净现金,但查看业务将其税息前利润(EBIT)转变为自由现金流的能力以及影响其管理债务的能力和需求,仍然很有趣。从最近的三年来看,汉钟精机的自由现金流以其EBIT的50%记录,这比我们预期的要弱。这种弱的现金转换使其更难处理债务。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery recorded free cash flow of 50% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

虽然我们理解认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,汉钟精机有净现金12亿元,以及比负债还要多的流动资产。我们喜欢去年同比增长36%的年度税息折旧前利润增长。所以我们认为汉钟精机的债务使用是不冒险的。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范畴的风险。这些风险很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现上海汉钟精机的1个警告信号,您需要了解。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery has net cash of CN¥1.20b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 36% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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