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Is Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300720) Stock On A Downtrend As A Result Of Its Poor Financials?

Is Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300720) Stock On A Downtrend As A Result Of Its Poor Financials?

由于财务状况差,海川智能(股票代码SZSE:300720)的股票是否处于下跌趋势?
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 02:14

With its stock down 17% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery (SZSE:300720). To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. In this article, we decided to focus on Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery's ROE.

因为过去一个月股价下跌了17%,所以很容易忽略海川智能股份 (SZSE:300720)。为了确定趋势是否会继续,我们决定审视业绩基本面,看它们如何塑造长期市场趋势。在本文中,我们决定专注于海川智能机械的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

净资产收益率(roe)是衡量公司经营管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。换言之,它是一种利润率,衡量由公司股东提供的资本的回报率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery is:

因此,根据上述公式,海川智能机械的roe为:

6.0% = CN¥36m ÷ CN¥598m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

6.0%= CN¥ 36m ÷ CN¥ 598m(截至2024年3月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.06 in profit.

“回报”是最近十二个月的利润。一个概念化的方法是,对于每1元股东资本,公司获得了0.06元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE对于盈利增长的重要性是什么?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了ROE衡量公司产生利润的效率。现在,我们需要评估公司为未来增长“留存”的利润或“保留”多少,这就让我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个想法。一般来说,其他条件相同的情况下,ROE和利润保留较高的公司比没有这些属性的公司具有更高的增长率。

Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery's Earnings Growth And 6.0% ROE

海川智能机械的盈利增长和6.0%的roe

At first glance, Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.3%. But Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery saw a five year net income decline of 4.9% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

乍一看,海川智能机械的roe看起来并不是很令人期待。 然而,进一步研究表明,公司的roe与6.3%的行业平均水平相似。 但是,海川智能机械在过去五年中的净利润下降了4.9%。 请记住,该公司的roe起点较低。这就是导致收益增长缩水的原因。

So, as a next step, we compared Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 6.4% over the last few years.

所以,作为下一步,我们将海川智能机械的表现与整个行业进行了比较,并发现尽管公司正在缩小盈利规模,但行业在过去几年中的盈利增长率为6.4%。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300720 Past Earnings Growth June 12th 2024
SZSE:300720过去的盈利增长2024年6月12日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

评估公司的价值基础很大程度上取决于其盈利增长。投资者应该尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降(无论哪种情况),并确定是否已经反映在股价中。通过这样做,他们将了解股票是否面临着清澈的蓝水或是沼泽水域。海川智能机械是否与其他公司一样公平地定价?这3个估值指标或将对您有所帮助。

Is Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

海川智能机械是否有效利用了其留存收益?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 66% (implying that 34% of the profits are retained), most of Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

由于高达66%的高三年中位数红利支付率(意味着34%的利润被留存),海川智能机械的大部分利润都被支付给股东,这就解释了公司盈利规模的缩小。剩下的资本池只有很少的重新投资空间,这是一个恶性循环,对公司长期来说没有好处。您可以访问我们,了解我们针对海川智能机械确定的3个风险。风险仪表板在浏览完所有相关因素确定股票购买价格后,ROE是一个有用的公司质量指标。此外,还需要考虑其他因素,例如未来盈利增长以及未来需要投入多少投资。因此,我认为值得查看这份免费的详细收益、营收和现金流图表。

Additionally, Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery has paid dividends over a period of six years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,海川智能机械已经连续六年派发股息,这意味着管理层相当专注于维持其股息支付,而不考虑收益的萎缩。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Guangdong High Dream Intellectualized Machinery's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

总的来说,在做出任何关于海川智能机械的决策之前,我们都应该极其谨慎。 因为该公司没有太多的重新投资业务资本,并且由于roe较低,看到其盈利规模的缩水也就不足为奇了。 目前为止,我们只是简要讨论了公司的盈利增长。 因此,检查一下海川智能机械过去的收益,以及营收和现金流的自由详细数据图表可能会有更深入的了解。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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