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Don't Race Out To Buy Lafang China Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603630) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

Don't Race Out To Buy Lafang China Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603630) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

不要因为将要除息就立刻买入拉芳家化(SHSE:603630)股票
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 18:57

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Lafang China Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603630) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Accordingly, Lafang ChinaLtd investors that purchase the stock on or after the 17th of June will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 17th of June.

一直以来,Simply Wall St一直钟情于分红派息,因此非常兴奋地看到拉芳家化股份有限公司(SHSE:603630)即将在未来4天内交易除权除息日。除权除息日发生在股权登记日前一天,即股东需要在公司账簿上记录以便获得派息的那天。除权除息日非常重要,因为为了有资格获得分红,股票上的任何交易都需要在股权登记日之前完成。因此,在6月17日之后购买拉芳家化股票的投资者将无法获得分红,派息将在6月17日支付。

The company's upcoming dividend is CN¥0.23 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of CN¥0.23 per share to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Lafang ChinaLtd has a trailing yield of 2.0% on the current share price of CN¥11.51. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether Lafang ChinaLtd can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

公司即将派发人民币0.23元/股的股息,接着过去的12个月,公司向股东派发了总计人民币0.23元/股的分红。计算过去一年的派息额表明,目前股价为人民币11.51元的拉芳家化股份有限公司的分红率为2.0%。对于长期股东,分红是投资回报的主要贡献者,但前提是分红继续支付。因此,我们需要调查拉芳家化股份有限公司能否负担得起分红,以及分红是否会增长。

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Last year Lafang ChinaLtd paid out 92% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Thankfully its dividend payments took up just 26% of the free cash flow it generated, which is a comfortable payout ratio.

通常,股息是从公司利润中支付的,因此,如果公司支付的分红多于收入,其分红通常面临更高的被削减风险。去年,拉芳家化股份有限公司向股东支付了其利润的92%作为分红,表明分红收益不能通过盈利覆盖。 也就是说,即使是高获利的公司有时也可能无法产生足够的现金来支付分红,这就是我们应该始终检查分红是否被现金流覆盖的原因。值得庆幸的是,其分红支付仅占其自由现金流的26%,这是一个舒适的派息比率。

It's good to see that while Lafang ChinaLtd's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if this were to happen repeatedly, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.

很高兴看到虽然拉芳家化股份有限公司的分红收益不能通过盈利覆盖,但至少从现金角度来看,它们仍是可承受的。然而,如果这种情况反复出现,我们会担心分红在经济下行时是否可持续。

Click here to see how much of its profit Lafang ChinaLtd paid out over the last 12 months.

单击此处查看拉芳家化股份有限公司过去12个月支付的利润金额。

historic-dividend
SHSE:603630 Historic Dividend June 12th 2024
SHSE:603630历史分红 2024年6月12日

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

收益和股息一直在增长吗?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Lafang ChinaLtd's 14% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

营收下降的公司风险更高,面临减少股息的风险,投资者可能会看到其投资价值荡然无存。因此,我们对拉芳家化股份有限公司过去五年内每年下降14%的盈利感到不满。当每股盈利下降时,可分配的最大股息也会下降。

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past seven years, Lafang ChinaLtd has increased its dividend at approximately 8.3% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Lafang ChinaLtd is already paying out 92% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

大多数投资者评估一家公司的股息前景的主要方法是检查其历史股息增长率。近七年来,拉芳家化股份有限公司的分红平均每年增长约为8.3%。这很有趣,但是尽管盈利下降,但股息增长的组合通常只能通过支付更高的利润百分比来实现。拉芳家化股份有限公司已支付其利润的92%,而且随着盈利下降,我们认为未来这种分红增长速度不太可能快速增长。

The Bottom Line

还有一件事需要注意的是,我们已经确定了上海医药的2个警告信号,了解这些信号应该成为你的投资过程的一部分。

Has Lafang ChinaLtd got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 92% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Lafang ChinaLtd's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. Bottom line: Lafang ChinaLtd has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

拉芳家化股份有限公司有能力维持股息支付吗?盈利每股下降,特别是在公司将92%的利润作为分红支付时,我们认为情况并不太好。然而,现金流强劲,这使我们猜想拉芳家化股份有限公司的现金流可能存在一些大的时间差或公司可能已经大幅写下某些资产,从而减少了其收入。

So if you're still interested in Lafang ChinaLtd despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Lafang ChinaLtd (1 is a bit concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying the shares.

因此,即使拉芳家化股份有限公司的分红资格不佳,如果您仍然对该公司感兴趣,您应该对其股票面临的一些风险有充分的了解。为此,我们发现了拉芳家化股份有限公司的4个警示信号(其中1个有点令人担忧!),在购买股票之前了解一下这些警示信号。

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

如果你在寻找强劲的股息支付者,我们建议查看我们的顶级股息股票选择。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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