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Is Weakness In Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited (HKG:2411) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Is Weakness In Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited (HKG:2411) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

深圳兴业证券(集团)股份有限公司(HKG:2411)股票走弱,是市场可能错判其强劲的财务前景的迹象吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 20:15

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) (HKG:2411) has had a rough three months with its share price down 12%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s ROE.

深圳宝田(集团)股份有限公司(HKG: 2411)的股价在过去三个月中下跌了12%。然而,股价通常受到公司长期盈利表现的影响,而这家公司的表现相当不错。在本文中,我们决定关注深圳宝田(集团)的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东应考虑的重要因素是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们投资的资本如何被有效地再投资。简单来说,它用于评估公司与其股权资本相关的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以使用以下公式进行计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is:

因此,根据上述公式,深圳宝田(集团)的ROE为:

10% = CN¥340m ÷ CN¥3.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

10%= 3.3十亿元人民币÷ 3.4亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.10 in profit.

“回报”是过去十二个月的利润。其中一种观念是,对于每1港元的股东资本,公司实现了0.10港元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力,我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量公司如何高效地生成利润。现在我们需要评估公司以后的增长潜力,即公司重新投资或“保留”的利润。其他条件相同的情况下,同时具有较高的股权回报率和较高的利润保留的公司通常是相对于不具备相同特点的公司而言增长率更高的公司。

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

深圳宝田(集团)的收益增长和10%的ROE

To start with, Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 10% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This probably goes some way in explaining Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s significant 21% net income growth over the past five years amongst other factors. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

首先,深圳宝田(集团)的ROE看起来可以接受。即使与10%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的ROE看起来也很不错。这可能在一定程度上解释了深圳宝田(集团)在过去五年中显着的21%净利润增长,以及其他因素。我们认为这里也可能有其他因素。例如,公司的管理层可能做出了一些明智的战略决策,或者该公司的股息比率较低。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 31% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

其次,我们发现深圳宝田(集团)的净利润增长报告低于过去几年的行业增长率31%,这是我们不愿意看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2411 Past Earnings Growth June 13th 2024
SEHK:2411过去的收益增长2024年6月13日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者知道市场是否已经定价了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)非常重要。通过这样做,他们将了解该股票是进入清澈的蓝色水域还是进入了等待的泥泞水域。预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是P / E比率,它根据其收益前景确定市场愿意支付股票的价格。因此,您可能希望查看深圳宝田(集团)是否在高P / E或低P / E(相对于其行业)上交易。

Is Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

深圳宝田(集团)是否有效利用其利润?

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 32%, meaning the company retains 68% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

深圳宝田(集团)三年的中位数股息支付比率相当适度,为32%,这意味着公司保留了其收入的68%。这表明其股息得到了很好的覆盖,并且考虑到上述高增长,深圳宝田(集团)似乎正在有效地再投资其盈利。

While Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 22% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the lower expected payout ratio.

虽然深圳宝田(集团)一直在增长其收益,但它只是最近才开始支付股息,这可能意味着公司决定向新老股东展示股息。在研究最新的分析师共识数据时,我们发现,尽管预期获利比率预计降至22%,但该公司的ROE不会发生太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we are pretty happy with Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们对深圳宝田(集团)的表现感到非常满意。尤其是看到该公司大举投资于其业务,再加上高回报率,这导致其盈利增长相当可观。话虽如此,目前的分析师预测预计该公司的盈利增长将放缓。这些分析师的预期是基于行业整体预期还是基于公司基本面?单击此处转到我们的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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