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We Think Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd (SHSE:688535) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd (SHSE:688535) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我们认为江苏爱文思控股先进材料股份有限公司(SHSE:688535)在其债务上承担了一定的风险
Simply Wall St ·  06/13 18:06

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangsu HHCK Advanced Materials Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688535) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯(Howard Marks)在谈到股价波动时很好地表达了他的观点:“我担心的是永久损失的可能性……我认识的每个实践投资者都担心这一点。”考虑一家公司有多大的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过多会导致破产。我们可以看到江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司(SHSE:688535)在业务中使用债务,但更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多少风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻松用自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资金时,债务和其他负债会对企业构成风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人将控制企业。然而,一个更常见(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价募集新的股权资本,从而永久地稀释股东的股份。通过替代稀释,债务可以成为需要以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。考虑一个企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看看其现金和债务。

What Is Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's Debt?

江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司的债务状况是怎样的?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd had CN¥45.0m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it does have CN¥30.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥14.8m.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司截至2024年3月负债4500万人民币,较去年同期增长,现金净额3020万人民币,净债务约为1480万人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688535 Debt to Equity History June 13th 2024
SHSE:688535资产负债历史 2024年6月13日。

How Healthy Is Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's Balance Sheet?

江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司的资产负债表状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd had liabilities of CN¥139.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥30.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥30.2m in cash and CN¥169.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥29.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

仔细观察最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司有13970万人民币的12个月内到期的负债和3090万人民币的过期负债,但有3020万人民币的现金和16970万人民币的应收账款,其中12个月内到期的应收账款。因此,它可以拥有比现金资产更多的央视2930万人民币。负债。

Having regard to Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥6.07b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. But either way, Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考虑到江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司的规模,其流动资产似乎与总负债保持良好的平衡。因此,虽然很难想象这家总市值为60.7亿元人民币的公司会为现金而奋斗,但我们仍认为值得关注其资产负债表。但无论如何,江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司几乎没有净债务,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要的比率来衡量债务水平与收益的关系。一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),另一个是它的利息费用与利息和税前利润(EBIT)相比的倍数(或其利息覆盖率)。这样,我们考虑了债务的绝对量以及所支付的利率。

Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd has net debt of just 0.46 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. It is just as well that Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 40% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司的净债务只占EBITDA的0.46倍,表明它可以轻松加杠杆。但真正棒的是,它实际上在过去一年中收到的利息比支付的利息还要多。因此,可以说它可以像火热的铁板烧大厨那样处理债务。正因为江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司的负担不太重,所以它去年的EBIT下降了40%。在偿还债务方面,下跌的收益和含糖饮料对健康没有任何益处。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解最多的是有关债务的信息。但是,您不能完全孤立地看待债务,因为江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司需要收益来支付这些债务。因此,在考虑债务时,肯定值得关注收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,一家公司需要自由现金流来偿还债务;核算利润并不能胜任此任务。因此,我们需要清楚地了解该公司的EBIT是否导致相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司烧掉了很多现金。尽管投资者无疑期望在适当的时候逆转这种情况,但这显然意味着它的债务使用更加危险。

Our View

我们的观点

We feel some trepidation about Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's difficulty EBIT growth rate, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. We think that Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Jiangsu HHCK Advanced MaterialsLtd that you should be aware of.

我们对江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司的净债务EBIT增速感到有些担忧,但我们也有积极的方面可以关注。它的利息覆盖率和净债务与EBITDA都是令人鼓舞的迹象。考虑到以上数据点,我们认为江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司的债务确实存在一定风险。这并不一定是坏事,因为杠杆可以提高股权回报,但这是需要注意的问题。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是最明显的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中-离它还很远。例如,我们已经发现江苏爱文思控股高新材料股份有限公司存在1个警告信号,您应该注意到。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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