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Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688103) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688103) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

昆山国立电子科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688103)的股票正在飙升,但财务状况似乎不太一致:这股上涨趋势会继续下去吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/13 18:37

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's (SHSE:688103) stock is up by a considerable 16% over the past week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's ROE in this article.

上周,昆山国立电子科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 688103)的股价上涨了16%。但是,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并没有给出公司财务健康的明确信号。具体来说,在本文中,我们决定研究昆山国立电子科技公司的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或roe是评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。简而言之,ROE显示每美元股东投资所产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以使用以下公式进行计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology is:

因此,根据上述式子,昆山国立电子科技的ROE为:

5.0% = CN¥57m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

5.0%= CN¥ 57m ÷ CN¥1.1b(基于过去十二个月至2024年3月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报”是企业上一年赚取的收入。换句话说,对于每1元的权益,公司能够赚取0.05元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量公司利润的效率如何。基于公司选择再投资或保留多少利润,我们随后能够评估公司未来产生利润的能力。总的来说,在其他条件相等的情况下,具有高ROE和利润保留的公司的增长率比没有这些特征的公司要高。

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's Earnings Growth And 5.0% ROE

昆山国立电子科技的盈利增长和5.0%的ROE

When you first look at it, Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 6.9%. For this reason, Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's five year net income decline of 10% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

一开始看,昆山国立电子科技的ROE并不那么有吸引力。然后,我们将公司的ROE与整个行业进行了比较,遗憾的是,ROE低于6.9%的行业平均水平。因此,考虑到低ROE,我们认为昆山国立电子科技的五年净收入下降10%。我们认为还可能存在其他方面对公司收益前景产生负面影响的因素。例如,企业可能会错配资本,或者公司具有非常高的股利支付比率。

However, when we compared Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 12% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将昆山国立电子科技的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现尽管公司的收益有所下降,但行业在同一时期内的收益增长了12%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688103 Past Earnings Growth June 13th 2024
SHSE: 688103过去的盈利增长2024年6月13日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者了解市场是否已经为公司的预期盈利增长(或下降)定价很重要。这有助于他们确定股票在未来是通往光明还是黑暗。预期盈利增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据股票的盈利前景决定市场愿意支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查昆山国立电子科技的市盈率是高于行业平均水平还是低于行业平均水平。

Is Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

昆山国立电子科技是否有效地再投资其利润?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 34% (that is, a retention ratio of 66%), the fact that Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管该公司的三年中位数股利支付比率为34%(即留存比率为66%),但昆山国立电子科技的收益下降的事实相当令人困惑。因此,在这方面可能会有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Only recently, Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.

最近,昆山国立电子科技开始支付股息。这可能意味着管理层认为其股东非常希望获得股息。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们认为昆山国立电子科技表现出的业绩可能被解读多种。虽然该公司拥有较高的再投资率,但低的ROE意味着所有的再投资都没有给其投资者带来任何好处,而且有负面影响收益增长。在此情况下,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师们预计看到公司的盈利增长率会大幅提高。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期还是基于公司的基本面?请单击此处,访问我们的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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