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Is Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass (SZSE:300395) A Risky Investment?

Is Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass (SZSE:300395) A Risky Investment?

菲利华(SZSE:300395)是否是一个有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  06/13 18:43

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300395) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由Berkshire Hathaway的Charlie Munger支持的外部基金经理Li Lu说:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是您是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”当我们考虑企业的风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的负债使用情况,因为负债过重可能会导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co.,Ltd.(SZSE:300395)使用负债。但是,股东们应该担心其使用负债吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

负债是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人的债务,那么它就处于债权人的掌控之下。在最坏的情况下,如果企业无法偿还其债权人的债务,它可能会破产。但是,一种更常见的情况(但仍然很昂贵)是企业必须以便宜的股票价格稀释股东,仅仅为了控制债务。然而,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本投资以高回报率增长的企业的极好工具。当我们考虑企业的债务使用情况时,我们首先考虑现金和债务的情况。

What Is Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass's Net Debt?

Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass had CN¥412.7m of debt, up from CN¥96.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥970.9m in cash, so it actually has CN¥558.2m net cash.

正如您在下面看到的,截至2024年3月底,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的债务为人民币4.127亿元,而去年同期为人民币9630万元。单击图片以获取更多详细信息。然而,它的资产负债表显示它持有人民币9.709亿元的现金,因此它实际上拥有人民币5.582亿元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300395 Debt to Equity History June 13th 2024
SZSE:300395资产负债历史记录2024年6月13日

How Strong Is Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' Balance Sheet?

Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass had liabilities of CN¥1.10b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥396.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥970.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.08b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥553.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看出,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的负债为人民币11亿元,应于一年内到期,并且还有人民币3,961万元的长期负债。然而它有人民币9.709亿元的现金以及15亿元应于未来12个月内到期的应收账款。因此,它实际上拥有人民币5.532亿元的净现金。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This surplus suggests that Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这个盈余表明Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass有一个保守的资产负债表,可能很容易消除其债务。简而言之,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!

But the other side of the story is that Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass saw its EBIT decline by 9.1% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但是故事的另一面是,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass的EBIT在过去一年中下降了9.1%。如果收益率继续以那个速度下降,该公司管理其债务压力的难度可能会增加。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass是否可以随着时间的推移增强其资产负债表。(如果您想看看专业人士的想法,您可能会发现此免费报告对分析师利润预测感兴趣。)

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是,我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为企业无法用纸上利润支付债务,它需要真正的现金。Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass可能在资产负债表上拥有净现金,但查看企业如何将其利润(利润前利息和税前利润)转化为自由现金流也很有趣,因为这将影响它的控制和管理债务的需要和能力。在过去的三年中,Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass烧掉了很多现金。尽管投资者毫无疑问地期望不久之后情况会有所好转,但它显然意味着其债务使用更具风险。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass has net cash of CN¥558.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

尽管我们理解投资者对债务的担忧,您应该知道,菲利华净现金为人民币55820万,也拥有更多的流动资产。因此,我们对菲利华使用债务没有任何问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表以外的风险。例如 - 菲利华存在一项警告信号,我们认为您应该注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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