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Is ZKH Group (NYSE:ZKH) Using Too Much Debt?

Is ZKH Group (NYSE:ZKH) Using Too Much Debt?

ZKH集团(纽交所:ZKH)是否负债过多?
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 09:23

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies ZKH Group Limited (NYSE:ZKH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传说中的基金经理李录(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾说:“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而在于你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使一家公司破产。与许多其他公司一样,ZKH Group Limited(纽交所:ZKH)利用债务。但这种债务是否对股东构成了担忧?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业不能轻松履行负债的义务时,债务和其他负债变得具有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是以优惠价格筹集资本。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人就可以控制企业。然而,一个更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,企业不得不以低廉的价格募集新股本,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。当然,债务的优点是,它通常代表便宜的本金,尤其是在以高回报率进行再投资的能力替代稀释的公司中。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的就是查看它的现金和债务。

What Is ZKH Group's Net Debt?

ZKH Group的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 ZKH Group had debt of CN¥701.0m, up from CN¥560.2m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.89b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.18b net cash.

下面的图片显示,截至2024年3月,ZKH Group的债务为7.01亿元人民币,比一年前的5.602亿元人民币增长,但其资产负债表显示其持有18.9亿元人民币的现金,因此其实际净现金为11.8亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ZKH Debt to Equity History June 14th 2024
纽交所:ZKH 资产负债比历史 (2024年6月14日)

How Strong Is ZKH Group's Balance Sheet?

ZKH Group的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ZKH Group had liabilities of CN¥3.59b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥130.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.89b in cash and CN¥3.63b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最后报告的资产负债表显示,ZKH Group在12个月内有35.9亿元人民币的负债,超过12个月的负债为1.302亿元人民币。但它持有18.9亿元人民币的现金和36.3亿元人民币的应收账款,这些账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它实际拥有1.8亿元人民币。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This surplus liquidity suggests that ZKH Group's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, ZKH Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ZKH Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

这种过剩流动性表明ZKH Group的资产负债表可能会像霍默·辛普森的头一样受到打击。考虑到这个事实,我们认为它的资产负债表像一头牛一样强大。简言之,ZKH Group拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有负担沉重的债务!当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的区域。但是,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定ZKH Group维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看本免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

In the last year ZKH Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 3.0%, to CN¥8.6b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在过去一年中,ZKH Group的息税前利润(EBIT)不盈利,但增长了3.0%,达到8.6亿元人民币。我们通常希望看到未盈利公司的增长更快,但每个人都有自己的观点。

So How Risky Is ZKH Group?

ZKH Group的风险有多大?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that ZKH Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥624m and booked a CN¥901m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the CN¥1.18b on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for ZKH Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

由于亏损的公司的特性,它们比长期盈利的公司更具风险性。我们确实注意到,ZKH Group在过去一年中出现了息税前亏损,并在同期出现了624亿元人民币的负自由现金流,以及901亿元人民币的账面亏损。但救星是资产负债表上的11.8亿元人民币。这意味着它可以以当前的速度保持支出超过两年。尽管其资产负债表似乎足够流动,但债务总是让我们有些紧张,如果一家公司不经常产生自由现金流的话。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的区域。但是,不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们在此发现了1个ZKH Group的警告信号,您在投资之前应该了解。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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