share_log

Is Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) (SZSE:000661) A Risky Investment?

Is Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) (SZSE:000661) A Risky Investment?

长春高新技术产业(集团)股份有限公司(SZSE:000661)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 18:15

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000661) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说:“波动远非风险的同义词。”因此,当你考虑股票的风险时,需要考虑到债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。与许多其他公司一样,长春高新技术产业(集团)股份有限公司(深证:000661)利用债务。但是,这种债务会担忧股东吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般来说,当一家公司无法轻易地通过融资或自有现金流来偿还债务时,债务才真正成为问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以接管业务。然而,更为普遍(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,以便控制债务。当然,债务可以是业务的重要工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先要看现金和债务的综合情况。

What Is Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group)'s Debt?

长春高新技术产业(集团)的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) had CN¥941.5m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.33b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥7.59b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥6.65b.

你可以点击下面的图形查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,长春高新技术产业(集团)的债务为9.415亿元,较一年前的13.3亿元降低。然而,它确实拥有75.9亿元的现金抵销这笔债务,导致净现金为66.5亿元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000661 Debt to Equity History June 14th 2024
深证:000661 负债股本比 历史走势图 2024年6月14日

A Look At Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group)'s Liabilities

查看长春高新技术产业(集团)的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) had liabilities of CN¥3.86b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥963.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥7.59b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.61b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥7.37b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最后报告的资产负债表,截至12个月内长春高新技术产业(集团)的负债为38.6亿元,超过12个月的负债为9.639亿元。抵销这些义务,它有75.9亿元的现金以及估值为46.1亿元,在12个月内到期的应收账款。所以它实际上有73.7亿元。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

It's good to see that Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

很高兴看到长春高新技术产业(集团)在资产负债表上拥有足够的流动性,表明其谨慎管理负债。由于其强大的净资产状况,不太可能面临贷款人的问题。简而言之,长春高新技术产业(集团)比债务多现金,可以安全地管理其债务,这是一个好的迹象。

Also positive, Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

同时,长春高新技术产业(集团)去年将其息税前利润(EBIT)增长了22%,这应该会使其更容易付清债务。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但是,最终业务未来盈利能力将决定长春高新技术产业(集团)能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的意见,您可能会发现此分析师盈利预测的免费报告有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,公司只能用现金来偿还债务,不能用会计利润来偿还。尽管长春高新技术产业(集团)在其资产负债表上拥有净现金,但查看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力仍然值得一看,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)该现金余额的速度。在最近三年中,长春高新技术产业(集团)记录下了其息税前利润的35%的自由现金流,这比我们预期的要弱。在偿还债务方面,这并不好。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) has CN¥6.65b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 22% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group)'s use of debt is risky. Another positive for shareholders is that it pays dividends. So if you like receiving those dividend payments, check Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group)'s dividend history, without delay!

虽然调查一家公司的债务始终是明智的,但在这种情况下,长春高新技术产业(集团)拥有6.65亿元的净现金和一份看起来不错的资产负债表。我们也喜欢去年22%的年同比EBIT增长情况。因此,我们认为长春高新技术产业(集团)的债务使用并不冒险。股东的另一个积极因素是,它提供分红派息。因此,如果您喜欢收到分红,不要拖延,查看长春高新技术产业(集团)的分红历史!

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发