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- 中国软件国际有限公司(HKG:354)的股价与收益相符
Chinasoft International Limited's (HKG:354) Price In Tune With Earnings
Chinasoft International Limited's (HKG:354) Price In Tune With Earnings
Chinasoft International Limited's (HKG:354) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Chinasoft International's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chinasoft International would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with earnings down 26% overall from three years ago. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 23% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Chinasoft International is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Chinasoft International's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Chinasoft International's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Chinasoft International with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Chinasoft International's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
若与香港股市约一半的公司的市盈率低于9x,甚至低于5x的市盈率相比,中国软件国际有限公司(HKG:354)目前市盈率为14.7x,似乎是强烈的卖出信号,但市盈率之所以如此之高有其原因,需要进一步研究确定其是否合理。
尽管市场近期出现了收益增长,但中国软件国际的收益却出现逆转,这并不好。有可能许多人预计这种失望的收益表现将大幅改善,这让市盈率没有崩溃。你真的希望如此,否则你就为没有特定原因而支付了一个相当高的价格。
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增长指标告诉我们关于高市盈率的什么?
为了证明其市盈率,中国软件国际需要实现强于市场远远的增长。
如果我们回顾上一年的收益,该公司发布的结果与一年前几乎没有偏差。尽管这是一种改善,但这不足以让该公司摆脱困境,自三年前以来整体收益下降了26%。因此,不幸的是,我们不得不承认,该公司在这段时间内没有做好增长收益的工作。
转向未来,覆盖该公司的分析师预测收益未来三年将每年增长23%。这将显著高于预计整个市场每年增长16%的收益。
有了这些信息,我们就可以看到为什么中国软件国际的市盈率与市场相比如此之高。显然,股东不愿意卖掉可能正在寻找更加繁荣的未来的东西。
我们从中国软件国际的市盈率中能学到什么?
虽然市盈率不应是您是否购买股票的决定性因素,但它是企业盈利预期的比较良好的指标。
正如我们所怀疑的那样,我们对中国软件国际的分析师预测的调查显示其优越的收益前景有助于其高市盈率。现在,股东对目前的市盈率感到满意,因为他们相当有信心未来的收益并不受威胁。除非这些条件改变,否则它们将继续为股价提供强有力的支持。
公司资产负债表是风险分析的另一个关键领域。通过我们免费的中国软件国际资产负债表分析,您可以评估许多主要风险。
如果您不确定中国软件国际的业务实力如何,请查看我们的股票交互式列表,了解一些您可能错过的其他公司的实力基础。
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
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风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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