To the annoyance of some shareholders, Dalian Friendship (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000679) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Multiline Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may still consider Dalian Friendship (Group) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
SZSE:000679 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 17th 2024
How Dalian Friendship (Group) Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Dalian Friendship (Group) over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dalian Friendship (Group), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Dalian Friendship (Group)'s Revenue Growth Trending?
Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.3%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 35% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Dalian Friendship (Group) is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price drop, Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Dalian Friendship (Group) revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Dalian Friendship (Group) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
