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Is Man Wah Holdings (HKG:1999) A Risky Investment?

Is Man Wah Holdings (HKG:1999) A Risky Investment?

曼华控股(HKG: 1999)是否是一项高风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  06/17 19:39

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Man Wah Holdings Limited (HKG:1999) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李璐(查理・芒格支持的)曾说:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动性,而是您是否会遭受到永久性的资本损失。” 当您检查投资风险时,考虑公司资产负债表是很自然的,因为公司倒闭时往往涉及债务。 重要的是,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司(HKG:1999)确实存在债务。 但股东们应该担心其是否使用了债务吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务能帮助企业,直到企业有困难无法用新资本或自由现金流偿还债务。 在最坏的情况下,如果一个公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。 然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低价冲淡股东的股价,以便控制债务。 当然,很多公司使用债务来资助增长,没有任何负面影响。 考虑公司的现金和债务总额是评估企业债务水平的第一步。

What Is Man Wah Holdings's Net Debt?

万华国际家具集团股份有限公司的净债务是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Man Wah Holdings had HK$4.11b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have HK$3.55b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$563.7m.

您可以点击下面的图表以了解详情,其中显示,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司在2024年3月有41.1亿港元的债务,与去年大致相同。 然而,它确实有35.5亿港元的现金来抵消这一情况,导致净债务约为5.637亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1999 Debt to Equity History June 17th 2024
SEHK:1999债务与股权历史,截至2024年6月17日

How Healthy Is Man Wah Holdings' Balance Sheet?

万华国际家具集团股份有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Man Wah Holdings had liabilities of HK$6.43b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$304.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$3.55b as well as receivables valued at HK$2.43b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$748.4m.

我们可以看到从最近的资产负债表中,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司有债务6.43亿港元在一年内到期,304.2万港元的债务超过一年后到期。 抵销这些义务,它拥有35.5亿港元的现金,以及12个月内到期的应收账款价值24.3亿港元。 因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款的总和达到7.484亿港元。 当然,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司市值达到236亿港元,因此这些负债可能是可以管理的。 尽管如此,很明显,我们应该继续监视其资产负债表,以免出现恶化的情况。

Of course, Man Wah Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$23.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

当然,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司的净债务与EBITDA比率仅为0.16,且其EBIT覆盖其利息开支高达65.6倍。 因此,我们对其超级保守的债务使用感到相当放松。 另一个好迹象是,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司在12个月内将EBIT提高了22%,这使得偿还债务更加容易。 明显,资产负债表是分析债务的关键。 但决定万华国际家具集团股份有限公司未来能否保持健康资产负债表的能力,还要更多地看未来收益。 因此,如果您想要了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

Man Wah Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.16. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 65.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that Man Wah Holdings has been able to increase its EBIT by 22% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Man Wah Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最后,虽然纳税人可能会喜欢会计利润,但放贷人只接受冷硬现金。 因此,检查有多少EBIT受自由现金流支持是值得的。 在过去的三年中,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司记录下了价值占其EBIT的52%的自由现金流,这是正常水平,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税收。 如果有适当的机会,这个自由现金流将使公司处于良好的偿还债务位置。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Man Wah Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

令人高兴的是,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司的利息覆盖率令人印象深刻,这意味着它在债务方面占优势。 而且,好消息还不止这些,因为它的净债务与EBITDA比率也非常令人欣慰。 总体而言,万华国际家具集团股份有限公司似乎相当合理地使用债务,这在我们看来是值得肯定的。 当然,债务确实带来风险,但是如果明智地使用,它也可以带来更高的股本回报率。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。 然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,相反,远非如此。 例如,-万华国际家具集团股份有限公司有1个警告信号,我们认为您应该注意它。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Man Wah Holdings's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Zooming out, Man Wah Holdings seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Man Wah Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

您会发现,当债务使用得当时,利用债务可以带来更高的股本回报率。 计算债务水平时,资产负债表是一个明显的起点。 不过,远非所有的投资风险都藏身于资产负债表中。 Man Wah Holdings还有其他风险? 我们在这里讨论这些问题。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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