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Investors Five-year Losses Continue as China Petroleum Engineering (SHSE:600339) Dips a Further 3.1% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

Investors Five-year Losses Continue as China Petroleum Engineering (SHSE:600339) Dips a Further 3.1% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

投资者五年来的亏损继续,因为中国石油股份(SHSE:600339)本周再次下跌3.1%,收益继续下降。
Simply Wall St ·  06/17 20:16

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term China Petroleum Engineering Corporation (SHSE:600339) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 27% over a half decade. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 21%. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 11% in a month. We do note, however, that the broader market is down 5.4% in that period, and this may have weighed on the share price.

理想情况下,您的整个投资组合应该超过市场平均水平。但是,即使是最好的股票选择人也只有在...上取胜。一些股票的选择是必须的。因为股价在过去的五年中下跌了27%,股票表现差,所以长期持有中油工程股票的股东们可能开始怀疑他们的决定。我们也注意到,股价在过去的一年中表现不佳,股价下跌了21%。最近,股价在一个月内进一步下跌了11%。但是,我们确实注意到,在那段时间,整个市场下跌了5.4%,这可能是对股价的压制。

Since China Petroleum Engineering has shed CN¥558m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

自从过去7天,中油工程公司的市值减少了55800万人民币,让我们看看更长期的下跌是否源于业务的经济。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话:“船只将周游世界,而‘地平派’仍会兴旺。市场上的价格和价值仍会存在广泛的差距……”考虑一家公司在市场上的认知如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。

Looking back five years, both China Petroleum Engineering's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 5.9% per year. In this case, the EPS change is really very close to the share price drop of 6% a year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. So it's fair to say the share price has been responding to changes in EPS.

回顾过去五年,中油工程的股价和每股收益都下降了;每股收益年均下降5.9%。在这种情况下,每股收益的变化与股价每年下跌6%非常接近。这表明公司的市场情绪在那段时间没有太大的改变,所以可以说股价一直在对每股收益的变化做出反应。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600339 Earnings Per Share Growth June 18th 2024
SHSE:600339 每股收益增长2024年6月18日

This free interactive report on China Petroleum Engineering's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想进一步调查该股票,可以在这份免费的互动报告中了解中油工程的收益、营业收入和现金流。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of China Petroleum Engineering, it has a TSR of -22% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报TSR是一种回报计算,考虑到现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都被再投资)以及任何折扣后的增资和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付高额股息的公司而言,TSR往往比股价回报率高得多。在中油工程的情况下,它在过去的5年中的TSR为-22%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报!这在很大程度上是由于其分红派息引起的!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, China Petroleum Engineering shareholders did even worse, losing 20% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Petroleum Engineering .

尽管整个市场在过去的12个月中损失了约15%,但中油工程的股东们的损失更大,损失了20%(包括股息)。然而,可能仅仅是股价受到了整个市场的担忧影响。这或许值得密切关注公司基本面,以寻找好机会。可悲的是,去年的表现结束了一个糟糕的阶段,股东们在过去的五年中面临年均4%的总损失。我们知道,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾表示投资者应该在“街头有鲜血时买入”,但我们警告投资者首先要确定他们正在购买高质量的企业。虽然考虑到市场情况可能对股价产生不同的影响是值得的,但更重要的是要注意其他因素。为此,您应该注意到我们发现了中油工程的1个警示信号。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企业进行投资。因此,请查看我们预计将实现盈利增长的公司的免费列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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