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Avicopter (SHSE:600038) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Avicopter (SHSE:600038) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

中航直升机(SHSE:600038)似乎相当明智地利用债务。
Simply Wall St ·  06/17 21:30

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Avicopter Plc (SHSE:600038) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希尔·哈撒韦旗下的外部基金经理李录(Li Lu)曾明确表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会蒙受资本永久损失。”因此,明智的钱知道,公司的债务——通常在破产中出现——是评估其风险度时非常重要的因素。我们注意到,中直股份(SHSE: 600038)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务产生了多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有在公司无法轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过增加资本还是通过自身的现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿付债权人,它可能会破产。然而,一种更常见的(但仍然昂贵的)情况是,公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东,以便控制债务。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它替代具有以高回报率再投资能力的公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看它的现金和债务合起来。

What Is Avicopter's Net Debt?

中直股份的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Avicopter had debt of CN¥2.08b, up from CN¥1.38b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.11b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.03b net cash.

下图,您可以点击以获取更多细节,显示2024年3月中直股份的债务为20.8亿人民币,比一年前的13.8亿人民币增加了近7亿人民币。然而,其资产负债表显示,它持有41.1亿人民币的现金,因此其实有20.3亿人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600038 Debt to Equity History June 18th 2024
SHSE: 600038负债股本比历史记录(2024年6月18日)

A Look At Avicopter's Liabilities

查看中直股份的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, Avicopter had liabilities of CN¥26.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.58b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.11b and CN¥9.90b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥15.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据上次公布的资产负债表,中直股份有262亿人民币的负债应在12个月内到期,358亿人民币的负债应在12个月后到期。另一方面,它拥有411亿人民币的现金和990亿人民币的短期应收款。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多158亿人民币。

Avicopter has a market capitalization of CN¥29.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Avicopter boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

中直股份的市值为299亿人民币,因此,如果需要,它很可能筹集资金来改善其资产负债表。但很明显,我们应该仔细研究它是否能够在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。尽管其负债显著,中直股份拥有净现金,因此可以说它负债不重!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Avicopter has boosted its EBIT by 95%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Avicopter can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

此外,我们很高兴报告,中直股份的EBIt增长了95%,从而减少了未来债务偿还的风险。分析负债水平时,资产负债表是开始的显而易见的地方。但是,最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定中直股份能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的想法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师收益预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Avicopter has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Avicopter burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。尽管中直股份的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注它将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它的现金余额是如何增加(或减少)的。在过去的三年中,中直股份烧掉了大量的现金。虽然投资者无疑希望这种情况早日逆转,但这显然意味着它使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总之

While Avicopter does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥2.03b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 95% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Avicopter's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Avicopter , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管中直股份的负债超过了流动资产,但它也拥有净现金203亿人民币。并且,它在过去一年中以95%的EBIt增长表现出色。因此,我们对中直股份使用债务没有任何问题。在分析负债级别时,资产负债表是开始的显而易见的地方。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。我们已经确定了一个与中直股份有关的警告信号,并且了解它们应该成为你的投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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