To the annoyance of some shareholders, Shanghai XNG Holdings Limited (HKG:3666) shares are down a considerable 32% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 46% in that time.
After such a large drop in price, given about half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may consider Shanghai XNG Holdings as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
SEHK:3666 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 19th 2024
What Does Shanghai XNG Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Shanghai XNG Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai XNG Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai XNG Holdings?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Shanghai XNG Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 38% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 30% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we understand why Shanghai XNG Holdings' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai XNG Holdings' P/S
The southerly movements of Shanghai XNG Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai XNG Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai XNG Holdings you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai XNG Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
