Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At CSX (NASDAQ:CSX)
Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At CSX (NASDAQ:CSX)
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
想找到下一个多倍榜样,需要注意以下关键趋势。一种常见的方法是尝试找到一个开多的公司。看到这种情况,通常意味着这是一家拥有出色的业务模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。因此,当我们简要查看纳斯达克nova(NASDAQ:NVMI)的资本回报率趋势时,我们对我们看到的感到非常高兴。什么是资本雇用回报率(ROCE)?ROCE是一个企业年度税前利润(其回报)与企业资本雇用之间的比率。在 Enphase Energy 的计算公式是:资本雇用回报率=利息和税前收益(EBIT)÷(资产总额-流动负债)。所以,Enphase Energy 的资本雇用回报率为9.9%。单独来看,这是一个较低的资本回报率,但它与行业平均回报率相当。以上你可以看到,Enphase Energy 的当前资本雇用回报率与之前的回报率相比如何,但从过去只能知道这么多。如果你想看看分析师对未来的预测,你应该查看我们免费提供的 Enphase Energy 分析师报告。ROCE 趋势可以告诉我们什么?比起 Enphase Energy,有更好的资本回报率选择。在过去的五年中,该公司增加了 1,306% 的资本,而该资本的回报率保持稳定在 9.9%。这样差的回报率现在并不令人信服,而且随着资本的增加,很明显企业并没有将资金投入到高回报的投资中。基本上这意味着公司有盈利的创新,可以继续投资,这是复利机器的特质。然而,经过简短的查看数字,我们认为CSX(纳斯达克CSX)未来不具备成为多倍增长股票的条件,但是让我们来看看原因。
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
我们对 Enphase Energy 的资本雇用回报率的看法:正如我们上面看到的,Enphase Energy 的资本回报率没有提高,但它正在重新投资于业务。投资者必须认为未来会有更好的前景,因为股票表现良好,使持股五年以上的股东获得了 690% 的收益。最终,如果基本趋势持续存在,我们不会对它成为一只多头股持有期很久很有信心。
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for CSX, this is the formula:
如果您之前未使用ROCE,请注意,它衡量公司从用于业务的资本中生成的“回报”(税前利润)的指标。要为CSX计算此指标,使用以下公式:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。
0.14 = US$5.5b ÷ (US$43b - US$3.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
0.14 = 55亿美元 ÷ (430亿美元 - 30亿美元)在Elevance Health上,我们已经注意到的趋势是相当令人放心的。数据显示,过去五年资产回报率大幅提高至15%。投资所用资产的规模也增加了30%。这表明有很多机会进行内部资本投资,并以更高的速度不断增长,这种组合在多倍增长方面很常见。.
So, CSX has an ROCE of 14%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 7.1% generated by the Transportation industry.
因此,CSX的ROCE为14%。就其本身而言,这是一个标准的回报,但是它比运输行业的7.1%要好得多。
Above you can see how the current ROCE for CSX compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CSX for free.
您可以看到CSX目前的ROCE如何与其之前的资本回报相比,但是从过去只能了解到有限的信息。如果您愿意,可以免费查看覆盖CSX分析师的预测。
How Are Returns Trending?
综合上述,Cimpress非常有效地提高了其资本利用率所产生的回报。考虑到股票过去五年保持稳定,如果其他指标也不错,则可能存在机会。因此,进一步研究这家公司并确定这些趋势是否会持续是合理的。
There hasn't been much to report for CSX's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect CSX to be a multi-bagger going forward.
过去五年来,CSX的资本回报率和资本水平保持稳定,因此我们得知公司没有再进行自我投资。因此,除非未来再次进行投资,否则我们不会预期CSX未来成为多倍增长的股票。
In Conclusion...
最后,同等资本下回报率较低的趋势通常不是我们关注创业板股票的最佳信号。由于这些发展进行良好,因此投资者不太可能表现友好。自五年前以来,该股下跌了32%。除非这些指标朝着更积极的轨迹转变,否则我们将继续寻找其他股票。
We can conclude that in regards to CSX's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 39% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
总的来说,在CSX的资本回报率和趋势方面,没有太多的变化来报告。毫不奇怪地,股票在过去五年中仅增长了39%,这可能表明投资者考虑到了这一点。因此,如果您正在寻找多倍增长股票,底层趋势表明您可能在其他地方有更好的机会。
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for CSX you'll probably want to know about.
另外,我们发现CSX存在1个警告信号,您可能想知道。
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group确实存在一些风险,我们已经发现了一条警示标志,你可能会感兴趣。对于那些喜欢投资于实力雄厚的公司的人,可以查看这个由财务状况强大、股本回报率高的公司组成的免费列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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