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Is GemPharmatech (SHSE:688046) A Risky Investment?

Is GemPharmatech (SHSE:688046) A Risky Investment?

GemPharmatech(SHSE:688046)是否是一项有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  06/19 18:16

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, GemPharmatech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688046) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克思很好地表达了这一点,他说,与其担心股价波动,'永久性损失的可能性是我担心的风险...我所认识的每一位实践投资者都在担心。'所以看来聪明的钱知道,债务通常涉及破产,是评估公司风险性的一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,晶方生物股份有限公司(SHSE: 688046)的确有债务负担。但真正的问题是,这些负债是否使公司具有风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债务,那么企业就处在债权人的掌握范围内。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,更常见的情况是,企业必须以平价的股票价格稀释股东权益,以便控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它替代了具有高回报能力的公司再投资时的权益稀释时。当我们考虑一个公司的债务使用时,我们首先考虑现金和债务合起来。

What Is GemPharmatech's Debt?

晶方生物的债务是什么?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, GemPharmatech had CN¥85.2m of debt, up from CN¥32.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥1.25b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.16b net cash.

正如您下面所看到的,在2024年3月底,晶方生物的债务为8520万元人民币,比一年前的3210万元人民币增加了。点击图片以获取更多详细信息。但它也有12.5亿元人民币的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它有11.6亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688046 Debt to Equity History June 19th 2024
SHSE:688046 债务股本比历史记录 2024 年 6 月 19 日

How Strong Is GemPharmatech's Balance Sheet?

晶方生物的资产负债表情况如何?最新的资产负债表数据显示,晶方生物有3408万元人民币的负债在明年到期,8740万元人民币的负债在其后到期。相应的,它有12.5亿元人民币的现金和3246万元人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有11.4亿元人民币。

The latest balance sheet data shows that GemPharmatech had liabilities of CN¥340.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥87.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.25b in cash and CN¥324.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.14b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

这种盈余表明晶方生物在债务使用方面是以一种既安全又保守的方式。由于其强劲的净资产状况,它不太可能面临与债权人的问题。简而言之,晶方生物比债务多现金的事实,可以认为是它能够安全地管理其债务的一个好标志。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This surplus suggests that GemPharmatech is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that GemPharmatech has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

我们也注意到,晶方生物去年将EBIt增长了11%,使其债务负担更容易处理。显然,资产负债表是分析债务的关注重点所在。但更重要的是,未来的盈利,而不是任何事情,将决定晶方生物的维持财务平衡表的能力。所以,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,显示分析师的利润预测。

And we also note warmly that GemPharmatech grew its EBIT by 11% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine GemPharmatech's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务,会计利润是不够的。晶方生物可能有净现金和良好的资产负债表,但查看企业如何将利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流,以此来影响其管理债务的需求和能力,这仍然是有趣的事情。在过去的三年中,晶方生物烧掉了很多现金。虽然这可能是为了成长支出,但它确实使债务更加风险。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. GemPharmatech may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, GemPharmatech burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

虽然调查一家公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,晶方生物拥有1.16亿元人民币的净现金和一个看起来不错的资产负债表。此外,它在过去十二个月中将EBIt增加了11%。所以我们不为晶方生物的债务使用而苦恼。毋庸置疑,我们从资产负债表中学到了大部分有关债务的情况。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经确认了2个警告信号,表示晶方生物(其中1个有点令人担忧)的风险,你应该意识到这一点。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case GemPharmatech has CN¥1.16b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 11% in the last twelve months. So we are not troubled with GemPharmatech's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for GemPharmatech (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,GemPharmatech有人民币11.6亿的净现金和一份看起来不错的资产负债表。此外,在过去的12个月中,其EBIt增长了11%。因此,我们并不担心GemPharmatech的债务使用。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到债务的大部分信息。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经确定了GemPharmatech的2个警告信号(其中1个有点令人担忧),您应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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