The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd's (SHSE:600252 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.1% in Past Week
The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd's (SHSE:600252 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.1% in Past Week
For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600252) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 24% over a half decade. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 9.3% in a month. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 5.0% in the same time period.
对许多人来说,投资的主要目的是比整体市场产生更高的回报。但即使是最好的股票选手,也只能靠选择获胜。因此,我们不会责怪长期持有 OGE Energy Corp. (纽交所:oge energy) 股票的股东对其决定产生怀疑,因为股票在半个十年中下跌了 15%。一些股票的选择是必须的。 因为选择过多,所以我们不会责怪长期持有广西中恒集团股份有限公司( SHSE:600252)的股东对他们的决定产生怀疑,因为股票在半个十年中下跌了24%。最近,股价在一个月内还下跌了9.3%。但是,我们注意到价格可能会受到整个市场的影响,该市场在同一时间段内下跌了5.0%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
考虑到过去一周对股东来说是艰难的,让我们调查一下基本面并看看我们能学到什么。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市场有时毫无疑问是有效的,但股票价格并不总是反映基本业务表现。一种有缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格,以评估围绕公司的情绪如何变化。
Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
广西中恒集团有限公司在过去五年内实现了盈利。大多数人会认为这是一件好事,因此看到股价下跌似乎是违反直觉的。其他指标可能更好地解释股价变动。
We don't think that the 0.4% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. It could be that the revenue decline of 6.8% per year is viewed as evidence that Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd is shrinking. That could explain the weak share price.
我们认为0.4%对股价影响不大,因为这相当小,就红利而言。由于每年的收入下降6.8%被视为广西中恒集团有限公司萎缩的证据,因此这可能是股价疲软的原因。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):
If you are thinking of buying or selling Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果你想购买或出售广西中恒集团有限公司的股票,你应该查看这份关于其资产负债表的免费详细报告。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was -19%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
对于任何给定的股票,考虑总股东回报率以及股价回报率是很重要的。股价回报率仅反映股价变动,TSR包括股息的价值(假设已再投资)和任何折扣资本筹集或分拆的好处。可以说,TSR给出了一张更全面的股票收益图片。恰好相差19%,广西中恒集团有限公司过去5年的TSR超过了前面提到的股价回报。因此,公司支付的股息增加了 总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Although it hurts that Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd returned a loss of 7.9% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 14%. Given the total loss of 4% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Guangxi Wuzhou Zhongheng GroupLtd (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
尽管广西中恒集团有限公司在过去的十二个月中亏损了7.9%,但更广泛的市场实际上更糟糕,亏损了14%。考虑到在过去的五年中年均亏损率为4%,似乎在过去的十二个月中,回报已经恶化。虽然一些投资者专门从事购买陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司,但不要忘记巴菲特说的“转机很少会转身”。我发现长期股价作为业务表现的代理非常有趣。但是,为了获得真正的洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。请考虑存在的投资风险。我们已经确定了广西中恒集团有限公司的2个警告信号(至少1个不应被忽略),了解它们应该成为你的投资过程的一部分。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,也可以发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com