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These 4 Measures Indicate That Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd (SHSE:601019) Is Using Debt Safely

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd (SHSE:601019) Is Using Debt Safely

这4项措施表明山东出版传媒股份有限公司(SHSE:601019)正在安全使用债务。
Simply Wall St ·  06/19 22:56

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601019) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

David Iben曾经很好地说过,“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们所关心的是避免资本的永久损失。” 当你审查某家公司的风险时,考虑到公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业破产时通常涉及到债务。我们可以看到,山东出版传媒股份有限公司(SHSE:601019)的业务确实使用了债务,但真正的问题是,这种债务是否使公司变得有风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当公司无法轻松偿还债务时,如通过募集资金或用其自己的现金流,则债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的本质是“创新的破坏”过程,失败的企业经常被银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务可能成为企业中的重要工具,尤其是对于资本占用大的企业而言。在考虑公司的债务使用时,我们首先看现金和债务的组合。

What Is Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's Net Debt?

山东出版传媒股份有限公司的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd had CN¥95.5m of debt at December 2023, down from CN¥116.6m a year prior. But it also has CN¥8.79b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥8.69b net cash.

正如下面所示,截至2023年12月,山东出版传媒股份有限公司的债务为9550万人民币,低于去年同期的11660万人民币。但它的现金为879亿人民币,因此它有869亿元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601019 Debt to Equity History June 20th 2024
SHSE:601019的债务股本比历史记录见图(2024年6月20日)

How Healthy Is Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's Balance Sheet?

山东出版传媒股份有限公司的资产负债表状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd had liabilities of CN¥6.64b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.35b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥8.79b in cash and CN¥1.61b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.40b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

当我们审查最新的负债表数据时,我们可以看到山东出版传媒股份有限公司在12个月内有664亿人民币的短期债务和135亿人民币的长期债务,同时它有879亿人民币的现金和161亿人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有24亿元的流动资金。总负债还多出了更多的流动资产。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种短期流动性表明,山东出版传媒股份有限公司可能轻松偿还其债务,因为它的资产负债表远未过度。简言之,山东出版传媒股份有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有负重的债务负担!

Also good is that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd grew its EBIT at 14% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

此外,山东出版传媒股份有限公司去年EBIT增长了14%,进一步增加了其管理债务的能力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最重要的是,未来的收益将决定山东出版传媒股份有限公司能否保持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金而不是会计利润偿还债务。山东出版传媒股份有限公司可能在资产负债表上拥有净现金,但查看企业如何将利润(利息和税前利润)转化为自由现金流是非常有趣的,因为这将影响它管理债务的需要和能力。令股东满意的是,山东出版传媒股份有限公司在过去三年内的自由现金流比EBIT还要高。这种强大的现金转换让我们像大碟酒会现场的群众一样兴奋。

Summing Up

总之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has CN¥8.69b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.9b, being 117% of its EBIT. So we don't think Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

虽然调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,山东出版传媒股份有限公司拥有869亿元的净现金和一张看起来不错的资产负债表。它让我们惊喜的是在过去3年中自由现金流达到19亿元,是EBIT的117%。因此,我们认为山东出版传媒股份有限公司的债务使用不会有风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每个公司都有它们,我们发现山东出版传媒股份有限公司有2个预警信号(其中1个是重要的!),您应该了解一下。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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