Is Hexing ElectricalLtd (SHSE:603556) A Risky Investment?
Is Hexing ElectricalLtd (SHSE:603556) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Hexing Electrical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603556) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
作为投资者,一些人认为波动性而不是债务是风险考虑的最佳方式,但沃伦•巴菲特有名地说“波动性与风险相距甚远。”所以聪明的投资者知道,债务 - 通常涉及破产 - 是评估一家公司风险的重要因素。重要的是,海兴电力股份有限公司(SHSE:603556)确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司有风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自有现金流。最终,如果该公司无法履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所有。然而,更频繁但仍昂贵的情况是,一家公司必须以折价出售股票来稳定其资产负债表,从而永久性地稀释股东的权益。尽管债务会替代稀释,但债务还是可以成为需要高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。考虑企业使用了多少债务时,第一件事就是看看它的现金和债务。
What Is Hexing ElectricalLtd's Net Debt?
海兴电力股份有限公司的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hexing ElectricalLtd had CN¥428.4m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥537.0m, one year before. However, it does have CN¥4.66b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.24b.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数字,但它显示海兴电力股份有限公司在2024年3月有4.284亿元的债务,比一年前的5.37亿元下降。但是,它确实有46.6亿元的现金抵消这个债务,从而产生了净现金42.4亿元。
How Strong Is Hexing ElectricalLtd's Balance Sheet?
海兴电力股份有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Hexing ElectricalLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.02b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥286.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.66b and CN¥1.24b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.59b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最后一份公布的资产负债表,海兴电力股份有限公司有202亿元的短期负债,和2868万元的长期负债。另一方面,它有46.6亿元的现金和12.4亿元的应收账款。因此,它拥有比其他更多的资产流动性。总负债。
This surplus suggests that Hexing ElectricalLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Hexing ElectricalLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这个盈余表明海兴电力股份有限公司有一个保守的资产负债表,可能很容易消除其债务。简单地说,海兴电力股份有限公司有比债务更多的现金,这可能是它可以安全管理其债务的良好指标。
On top of that, Hexing ElectricalLtd grew its EBIT by 56% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hexing ElectricalLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
此外,海兴电力股份有限公司在过去的十二个月中增加了56%的息税前利润(EBIT),这种增长将使其更容易处理其债务。显然,在分析债务时,资产负债表是重点。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定海兴电力股份有限公司是否能够随着时间推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,你可以查看这份免费报告,显示分析师的利润预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Hexing ElectricalLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Hexing ElectricalLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 91% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸面利润支付债务。它需要现金。虽然海兴电力股份有限公司的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得关注它将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它正在多么迅速地增加(或侵蚀)现金资产。在过去的三年中,海兴电力股份有限公司录得的自由现金流价值达到其息税前利润的91%,这比我们通常预期的要强。如果需要,它将处于偿还债务的良好位置。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hexing ElectricalLtd has CN¥4.24b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.2b, being 91% of its EBIT. So we don't think Hexing ElectricalLtd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Hexing ElectricalLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
虽然始终值得调查一家公司的债务,但在这种情况下,海兴电力股份有限公司有4.24亿元的净现金和一个看起来不错的资产负债表。它给我们留下深刻印象的是,自由现金流达到了12亿元,为其息税前利润的91%。因此,我们认为海兴电力股份有限公司的债务使用并不具备风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但是,最终每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。例如 - 海兴电力股份有限公司有一个警告信号,我们认为您应该了解。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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