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Is Darling Ingredients (NYSE:DAR) A Risky Investment?

Is Darling Ingredients (NYSE:DAR) A Risky Investment?

美国达尔令国际(纽交所:DAR)是否是一项具有风险的投资?
Simply Wall St ·  06/20 15:00

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Darling Ingredients Inc. (NYSE:DAR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德•马克斯说得好:“与其担心股价波动,我担心的是永久性的损失……我认识的每个实际投资者都担心这一点。”当你考虑一个公司的风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业破产时通常涉及到债务。从我们可以看出美国达尔令国际股份有限公司的业务中确实存在负债,但实际问题是这些负债是否使公司变得更加风险化。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务可以助力公司,一直到公司难以用新的资本或者自由现金流偿还债务。如此严重情况下,放贷方可以接管公司。然而,更普遍(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司必须以低价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的持股;当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它替换了公司以高回报率重新投资时的股份稀释时。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是将其现金和负债结合考虑。

What Is Darling Ingredients's Debt?

美国达尔令国际的债务情况如何?

As you can see below, Darling Ingredients had US$4.46b of debt at March 2024, down from US$4.67b a year prior. However, it also had US$145.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$4.32b.

从下面可以看出,在2024年3月,美国达尔令国际的债务为46亿美元,低于前一年的亿美元。但是,它也持有1.455亿美元的现金,因此其净债务为32亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:DAR Debt to Equity History June 20th 2024
纽交所:DAR股票的历史负债权益比情况于2024年6月20日

How Healthy Is Darling Ingredients' Balance Sheet?

美国达尔令国际的资产负债表的状况如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Darling Ingredients had liabilities of US$967.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$5.29b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$145.5m as well as receivables valued at US$656.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$5.46b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据最新的资产负债表,美国达尔令国际应于12个月内偿还967.3亿美元的负债,而应于12个月后偿还5.29亿美元的负债。抵消这些债务的是它持有1.455亿美元的现金和价值656.4亿美元的应收账款。所以,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合大54.6亿美元。这是相对于其市值55.1亿美元而言的巨额负债。这表明,如果公司需要紧急恢复其资产负债表,股东将被大幅稀释。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$5.51b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

尽管美国达尔令国际的债务至税息折旧及摊销前利润率(4.4)表明其确实使用了一些债务,但其利息覆盖率非常薄弱,为1.7,表明其负债率很高。这在很大程度上是由于公司的重要折旧和摊销费用造成的,这可能意味着其税息折旧及摊销前利润率是一种非常慷慨的收益测量标准,其负债可能比首次出现时更加沉重。显然,借贷成本对股东的回报造成了负面影响,而且美国达尔令国际去年的利润也下降了34%。如果收益继续沿着这个轨迹,偿还债务将会比说服我们在雨中跑马拉松更加困难。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点区域。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定美国达尔令国际能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份有关分析师盈利预测的免费报告有趣。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了衡量公司债务相对于其收益的大小,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)以及其税前收益与利息支出(其利息覆盖率)的比率。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了所支付的利率。

While Darling Ingredients's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.4) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.7, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Worse, Darling Ingredients's EBIT was down 34% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Darling Ingredients can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最后,企业只能用冷硬现金而不是会计利润偿还债务。因此,检查该EBIT的多少由自由现金流支持是值得的。在最近的三年中,美国达尔令国际的自由现金流约为其EBIT的73%,这是正常的,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税收。这种冷硬的现金意味着它可以在想要的时候减少其负债。表面上看,美国达尔令国际的利息覆盖率让我们对该股持谨慎态度,而其EBIT增长率不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚的一个空餐厅吸引人。但光明面的是,它将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力是一个好迹象,让我们更加乐观。总的来说,我们认为美国达尔令国际的资产负债表对业务确实存在相当大的风险。因此,我们对这只股票的警惕程度几乎像饥饿的小猫对主人的鱼池会掉进去一样,一旦受伤,我们就会对其持有怀疑态度。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点区域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表中——远非如此。例证:我们发现美国达尔令国际存在2个警示信号,您应该意识到其中的1个。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Darling Ingredients recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,企业只能用冷硬现金而不是会计利润偿还债务。因此,检查该EBIT的多少由自由现金流支持是值得的。在最近的三年中,美国达尔令国际的自由现金流约为其EBIT的73%,这是正常的,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税收。这种冷硬的现金意味着它可以在想要的时候减少其负债。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Darling Ingredients's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Darling Ingredients's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Darling Ingredients you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

总的来说,美国达尔令国际的资产负债表对业务确实存在相当大的风险。因此,我们对这只股票的警惕程度几乎像饥饿的小猫对主人的鱼池会掉进去一样,一旦受伤,我们就会对其持有怀疑态度。资产负债表显然是分析债务的重点区域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表中——远非如此。例证:我们发现美国达尔令国际存在2个警示信号,您应该意识到其中的1个。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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