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Is China XD Electric (SHSE:601179) A Risky Investment?

Is China XD Electric (SHSE:601179) A Risky Investment?

中国西电(SHSE:601179)是一个高风险的投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/20 20:17

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that China XD Electric Co., Ltd (SHSE:601179) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

作为投资者,有人认为波动性而不是债务是考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特出名的说过'波动性与风险远非同义词'。当我们考虑到一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载会导致破产。我们可以看到,中国西电股份有限公司(SHSE:601179)在业务中确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务在企业没有还清它的时候会帮助企业,这要么是通过新的资本或通过自由现金流,但在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还其债权人,公司就会破产。但更常见的(但仍然昂贵)情况是,公司必须在便宜的股票价格下稀释股东才能控制债务。当然,很多公司使用债务来资助业务增长,而没有任何负面后果。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看它的现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does China XD Electric Carry?

中国西电电气股份有限公司背负多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 China XD Electric had debt of CN¥1.26b, up from CN¥804.0m in one year. But it also has CN¥10.3b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥9.06b net cash.

下面的图片可以点击查看更多细节,显示2024年3月,中国西电电气股份有限公司的债务为12.6亿元人民币,比一年前的8.04亿元人民币增加了近4亿元,但它也有103亿元人民币的现金可以抵消,这意味着它拥有9.06亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601179 Debt to Equity History June 21st 2024
SHSE:601179债务/股权历史2024年6月21日

How Strong Is China XD Electric's Balance Sheet?

中国西电电气股份有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that China XD Electric had liabilities of CN¥17.1b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.88b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥10.3b and CN¥13.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥4.94b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最近的资产负债表数据显示,中国西电电气股份有限公司有171亿元人民币的短期负债和18.8亿元人民币的长期负债。另一方面,它有103亿元人民币的现金和136亿元人民币的应收款项要在一年内到期。因此,它可以声称比负债多4.94亿元人民币的流动资产。负债。

This surplus suggests that China XD Electric has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that China XD Electric has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种盈余表明,中国西电电气股份有限公司的资产负债表保守,很可能可以毫不费力地消除其债务。简而言之,中国西电电气股份有限公司拥有比债务更多的现金,可以安全地管理其债务,这可能是一个良好的指标。

Better yet, China XD Electric grew its EBIT by 116% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China XD Electric's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

更好的是,中国西电电气股份有限公司去年将EBIT增长了116%,这是令人印象深刻的进步。这将使其未来还债更加容易。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的关于债务方面的信息是最重要的。但毕竟,未来的收益,而不是资产负债表,将决定中国西电电气股份有限公司维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份有关分析师利润预测的免费报告很有意思。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While China XD Electric has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, China XD Electric actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,尽管税务当局可能喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受现金。虽然中国西电电气股份有限公司的资产负债表上有净现金,但值得关注的是其将利息和税前收益(EIBT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解它以多快的速度来积累(或侵蚀)现金流量。令股东欣慰的是,在过去三年中,中国西电电气股份有限公司实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIT还多。在保持贷方的好信誉方面,没有什么比流入的现金更好的了。

Summing Up

总之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that China XD Electric has net cash of CN¥9.06b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.7b, being 140% of its EBIT. So is China XD Electric's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China XD Electric .

虽然我们能够理解投资者对债务的担忧,但你应该记住中国西电电气股份有限公司有9.06亿元人民币的净现金,以及比负债多的流动资产。令我们印象深刻的是,它持续保持着2.7亿元人民币的自由现金流,占EBIT的140%。所以,中国西电电气股份有限公司的债务风险吗?我们认为不是。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但最终,每个公司都可能存在于资产负债表之外的风险。为此,您应该了解我们在中国西电电气股份有限公司发现的一个警告标志。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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