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The Past Year for Ameren (NYSE:AEE) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

The Past Year for Ameren (NYSE:AEE) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

阿曼瑞恩(纽交所:AEE)投资者过去一年没有获得利润。
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 13:03

Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Investors in Ameren Corporation (NYSE:AEE) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 14%. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 25%. Looking at the longer term, the stock is down 13% over three years.

passiv在指数基金中进行投资是确保您的收益与整个市场大致匹配的好方法。当您购买个别股票时,您可以获得更高的利润,但您也面临着表现不佳的风险。美国能源公司(Ameren Corporation(NYSE:AEE)的投资者在过去一年中尝到了这种苦涩的下跌,因为股价下跌了14%。明显低于大约25%的市场回报率。长期来看,该股票在三年内下跌了13%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然一些人仍然在教授高效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者不总是理性的。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪变化的方法是比较每股收益 (EPS) 与股价。

Even though the Ameren share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It's quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管Ameren股价在一年内下跌,但其每股收益实际上有所改善。可能过去的增长预期是不合理的。

It seems quite likely that the market was expecting higher growth from the stock. But other metrics might shed some light on why the share price is down.

市场似乎相当有可能期望从该股票中获得更高的增长。但是,其他指标可能会解释股价下跌的原因。

On the other hand, we're certainly perturbed by the 11% decline in Ameren's revenue. If the market sees the weak revenue as jeopardising EPS, that could explain the lower share price.

另一方面,我们肯定对Ameren的营收下降11%感到不安。如果市场认为营收疲弱将危及每股收益,这可能会解释股价下跌。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:AEE Earnings and Revenue Growth June 21st 2024
NYSE:AEE Earnings and Revenue Growth June 21st 2024

This free interactive report on Ameren's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想进一步调查该股票,Ameren负债表强度的此免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Ameren's TSR for the last 1 year was -11%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报相反,股价回报只反映了股价的变化,TSR包括股息价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折扣的资本筹集或分拆的利益。可以说,TSR提供了更全面的股票收益图片。恰好,Ameren过去1年的TSR为-11%,超过了先前提到的股价回报。这很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Ameren shareholders are down 11% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 25%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.8%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Ameren (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .

Ameren股东在今年下跌了11%(即使包括股息),但市场本身上涨了25%。但是,请记住,即使最好的股票有时也会在十二个月的期间内表现不佳。长期投资者不会那么失望,因为他们每年可以获得1.8%的回报率,五年时间内。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此值得检查基本数据是否具有长期增长趋势的迹象。虽然考虑市场条件可能对股价产生的不同影响非常值得,但还有其他更重要的因素。为此,您应该了解我们发现的Ameren的3个警告标志(包括1个有点不愉快)。

We will like Ameren better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些重要的内部买入,我们会更喜欢Ameren。在等待的同时,请查看此免费的低估股票(主要是小盘股)列表,其中包括相当多的最近内部买入。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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