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Pulling Back 4.0% This Week, Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s SZSE:300620) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 4.0% This Week, Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s SZSE:300620) Five-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

光库科技(珠海)(SZSE:300620)本周回撤4.0%,五年收益下降或许将引起投资者的关注。
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 18:33

The last three months have been tough on Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai), Ltd. (SZSE:300620) shareholders, who have seen the share price decline a rather worrying 33%. But that doesn't change the fact that shareholders have received really good returns over the last five years. We think most investors would be happy with the 138% return, over that period. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. The more important question is whether the stock is too cheap or too expensive today.

过去三个月对珠海市光库科技股份有限公司 (SZSE:300620) 的股东来说是艰难的,因为股价下跌了33%。但这并不能改变股东在过去五年中获得了非常不错的回报。我们认为大多数投资者会对这个期间内的138%回报感到满意。我们认为把焦点放在长期回报上比短期回报更重要。更重要的问题是股票今天是不是太便宜或太贵了。

While the stock has fallen 4.0% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

尽管该股本周下跌了4.0%,但还是值得关注股票的更长期回报,并看看它们是否基于基本面的推动。

We don't think that Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

我们认为珠海市光库科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 持续12个月的收益小幅上涨未能引起市场的充分关注。我们认为收入可能是一个更好的指标。一般来说,我们认为这种公司更应该与亏损股票进行比较,因为实际利润非常低。若要使股东有信心公司将实现利润大幅增长,它必须增加收入。

In the last 5 years Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) saw its revenue grow at 15% per year. That's well above most pre-profit companies. Meanwhile, its share price performance certainly reflects the strong growth, given the share price grew at 19% per year, compound, during the period. This suggests the market has well and truly recognized the progress the business has made. Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) seems like a high growth stock - so growth investors might want to add it to their watchlist.

在过去的5年中,珠海市光库科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 的营业收入以每年15%的速度增长,远高于大多数未盈利的公司。同时,其股价表现在该期间内以每年19%的复合增长率增长,这显然反映出市场已经充分认识到该企业的进展。珠海市光库科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 看起来是一只高增长股票——因此,成长投资者可能会将其添加到自选股清单中。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300620 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 21st 2024
SZSE:300620收益和营业收入增长2024年6月21日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表强度至关重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能很值得一看。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai), it has a TSR of 143% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报TSR包括任何分拆或打折资本募集的价值,以及任何派发的股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地反映了股票所产生的回报。在珠海市光库科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 的情况下,过去5年的TSR为143%。这超过了我们之前提到过的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market lost about 14% in the twelve months, Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) shareholders did even worse, losing 43% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 19% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) .

尽管整个市场在12个月内损失了大约14%,但珠海市光库科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 的股东则表现得更糟糕,亏损了43%(包括股息)。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票被超卖是不可避免的。关键在于关注基本面的发展。好消息是,长期股东赚了钱,过去半个十年的年增长率为19%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,所以可能值得检查基本数据,看是否存在长期增长趋势的迹象。我认为看股价的长期表现作为企业表现的代理非常有趣。但是为了真正获得见解,我们需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该了解我们在珠海市光库科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 上发现的2个警告信号。

Of course Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,珠海市光库科技股份有限公司 (Zhuhai) 可能不是买入最佳的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这些免费的成长股集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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