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We're Not Very Worried About Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)'s (SHSE:688512) Cash Burn Rate

We're Not Very Worried About Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)'s (SHSE:688512) Cash Burn Rate

我们对Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) (SHSE:688512)的现金燃烧速度不是很担心。
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 18:57

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

毫无疑问,拥有不盈利的企业股票是可以赚钱的。例如,生物技术和矿业勘探公司通常会在发现新的治疗方法或矿产大发现前数年亏损。然而,只有傻瓜才会忽略亏损的公司迅速烧掉现金的风险。

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) (SHSE:688512) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

考虑到这种风险,我们会检查Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) (SHSE:688512)在现金流方面是否存在问题。在该报告中,我们将考虑公司每年的负自由现金流,简称为“现金流失”。首先,我们将比较现金流失和现金储备,以计算现金的可用时间。

Does Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) Have A Long Cash Runway?

Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)的现金可用时间是否很长?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at March 2024, Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) had cash of CN¥445m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥333m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 16 months from March 2024. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

现金可用时间是指公司按当前现金流失速度持续支出所需的时间长度。截至2024年3月,Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)拥有44500万人民币现金和无债务。在过去一年中,公司的现金流失了33300万人民币。所以从2024年3月计算,该公司将可用现金约为16个月。这不算太差,但毫无疑问,除非现金流失大大减少,否则现金可用时间的尽头已经在望。在下面的图表中,您可以看到其现金持有情况的变化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688512 Debt to Equity History June 21st 2024
SHSE: 688512近期的股权负债率变化。

How Well Is Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) Growing?

Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)的业务增长表现如何?

On balance, we think it's mildly positive that Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) trimmed its cash burn by 9.8% over the last twelve months. And considering that its operating revenue gained 44% during that period, that's great to see. It seems to be growing nicely. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

总的来说,我们认为Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)在过去十二个月中将其现金流失减少了9.8%,这是一个温和的积极信号。考虑到其运营收入在该期间增长了44%,这非常好。它似乎正在良好发展。然而,关键因素显然是公司将来的业务增长。因此,您可能需要查看公司未来几年预计增长了多少。

How Easily Can Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) Raise Cash?

Smarter Microelectronics(Guangzhou)可以轻松筹集资金吗?

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

相对现金流失而言,Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)处于相当良好的位置,但我们仍认为值得考虑它是否可以轻松筹集更多资金。向市场发行新股份或负债是上市公司筹集资金的最常见方式。通常,公司会向股东出售新股份以筹集资金并带动增长。通过将公司每年的现金流失与其总市值进行比较,我们可以大致估算其必须发行多少股份才能以相同的流失速度维持一年。

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) has a market capitalisation of CN¥4.7b and burnt through CN¥333m last year, which is 7.1% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)的市值为47亿元,去年的现金流失为33300万,占公司市值的7.1%。这个比例很低,所以我们认为该公司将能够通过一些溶解来筹集更多资金以支持增长,或甚至只是借些钱。

Is Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)'s Cash Burn A Worry?

Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)的现金流失是否值得担忧?

The good news is that in our view Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)'s cash burn situation gives shareholders real reason for optimism. One the one hand we have its solid cash burn relative to its market cap, while on the other it can also boast very strong revenue growth. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 3 warning signs for Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) that you should be aware of before investing.

好消息是,在我们看来,Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)公司的现金流失情况使股东有真正的理由感到乐观。一方面,它具有相对于市值的坚实现金流失,另一方面,它还可以自豪地拥有非常强大的收入增长。考虑本文中讨论的所有因素,我们并不过于担心公司的现金流失,但我们认为股东应该关注其发展情况。深入了解风险后,我们已经确定了Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)的3个警告信号,您在投资之前应该注意。

Of course Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

当然,Smarter Microelectronics (Guangzhou)可能不是最好的股票买入选择。因此,您可能想查看这些具有高净资产收益率的公司的免费收藏品,或查看拥有高内部所有权的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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