share_log

Is Guangdong Shirongzhaoye (SZSE:002016) A Risky Investment?

Is Guangdong Shirongzhaoye (SZSE:002016) A Risky Investment?

世荣兆业(SZSE:002016)是否是一项风险投资?
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 18:52

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Guangdong Shirongzhaoye Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002016) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,广东世荣兆业有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002016)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Guangdong Shirongzhaoye's Debt?

广东世荣兆业的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Guangdong Shirongzhaoye had CN¥90.0m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But it also has CN¥277.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥187.3m net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,广东世荣兆业在一年内有9000万元人民币的债务,比没有增加。但它也有27730万元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它有18730万元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002016 Debt to Equity History June 21st 2024
SZSE:002016 2024 年 6 月 21 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Strong Is Guangdong Shirongzhaoye's Balance Sheet?

广东世荣兆业的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangdong Shirongzhaoye had liabilities of CN¥1.24b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥58.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥277.3m in cash and CN¥468.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥554.4m.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,广东世荣兆业的负债为12.4元人民币,一年后到期的负债为5840万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有27730万元人民币的现金和46880万元人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额55440万元人民币。

Since publicly traded Guangdong Shirongzhaoye shares are worth a total of CN¥4.58b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Guangdong Shirongzhaoye boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

由于公开交易的广东世荣兆业股票的总价值为45.8元人民币,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。尽管负债可观,但广东世荣兆业拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

On top of that, Guangdong Shirongzhaoye grew its EBIT by 30% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Guangdong Shirongzhaoye's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

最重要的是,广东世荣兆业在过去十二个月中将其息税前利润增长了30%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是广东世荣兆业的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Guangdong Shirongzhaoye has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Guangdong Shirongzhaoye burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。尽管广东世荣兆业的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,广东世荣兆业烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Summing Up

总结

While Guangdong Shirongzhaoye does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥187.3m. And we liked the look of last year's 30% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we are not troubled with Guangdong Shirongzhaoye's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Guangdong Shirongzhaoye (at least 2 which are significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管广东世荣兆业的负债确实超过了流动资产,但其净现金也为18730万元人民币。我们喜欢去年 30% 的息税前利润同比增长的样子。因此,我们对广东世荣兆业的债务使用并不感到困扰。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。我们已经向广东世荣兆业确定了3个警告信号(至少2个是重要的),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发