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COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002423) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002423) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

中粮资本有限公司(SZSE:002423)的股票最近表现疲软,但财务前景看起来不错:市场错了?
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 19:07

It is hard to get excited after looking at COFCO Capital Holdings' (SZSE:002423) recent performance, when its stock has declined 6.2% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on COFCO Capital Holdings' ROE.

最近一个月中粮资本控股股东(SZSE:002423)的表现不尽如人意,股价下跌了6.2%。然而,股价通常受到公司长期财务状况的影响,在这种情况下,公司的财务状况相当不错。本文将重点关注中粮资本控股的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE或股东权益报酬率是一种有用的工具,用于评估一家公司能否有效地利用来自股东的投资产生回报。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东的投资变成利润的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for COFCO Capital Holdings is:

因此,根据上述公式,中粮资本控股的roe为:

7.7% = CN¥2.1b ÷ CN¥28b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.7%= CN ¥2.1b ÷ CN ¥28b(基于截至2024年3月的最近十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回报”是业务在过去一年中获得的收入。其中一种概念化的方法是,对于每CN ¥1的股东资本,公司获利CN ¥0.08。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力,我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe衡量公司利润产生的效率。根据公司选择再投资或“保留”的利润比例,我们能够评估公司未来产生利润的能力。其他条件相同的情况下,roe和利润保留率均较高的公司通常比没有这些特征的公司成长速度更快。

A Side By Side comparison of COFCO Capital Holdings' Earnings Growth And 7.7% ROE

中粮资本控股盈利增长和7.7%roe的并排比较

When you first look at it, COFCO Capital Holdings' ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.5%, we may spare it some thought. On the other hand, COFCO Capital Holdings reported a moderate 14% net income growth over the past five years. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

刚看起来,中粮资本控股的roe看起来不太吸引人。然而,考虑到公司的roe与7.5%的行业平均roe相似,我们也可以对其进行思考。另一方面,中粮资本控股过去5年报告了14%的净收入增长。考虑到roe相对较低,公司盈利增长可能有一些其他积极因素。例如,公司的股息支付比例较低,或者正在有效地管理。

We then performed a comparison between COFCO Capital Holdings' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 14% in the same 5-year period.

我们随后对比了中粮资本控股与同一5年时期行业的净收入增长,发现公司的增长与同行业平均增长14%相似。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002423 Past Earnings Growth June 21st 2024
SZSE:002423过去的盈利增长(2024年6月21日)

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about COFCO Capital Holdings''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

给公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者需要确定的是,预期的盈利增长或缺乏盈利增长是否已经反映在股价中。这样做将有助于他们确定股票的未来前景是光明还是暗淡。如果你想知道中粮资本控股的估值,请查看与行业相比的市盈率的这一衡量标准。

Is COFCO Capital Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中粮资本控股是否有效地重新投资其利润?

In COFCO Capital Holdings' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 24% (or a retention ratio of 76%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

在中粮资本控股的案例中,其值得尊重的盈利增长可能可以解释为其低三年经调整的中位股利支付比率为24%(或保留比率为76%),这表明公司正在投资大部分利润以发展业务。

Besides, COFCO Capital Holdings has been paying dividends over a period of four years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

此外,中粮资本控股已经连续四年支付股息。这表明公司致力于与股东分享利润。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that COFCO Capital Holdings certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for COFCO Capital Holdings.

总的来说,我们认为中粮资本控股确实有一些需要考虑的积极因素。尽管roe较低,但在高再投资率的情况下,公司成功地实现了盈利的显著增长。虽然我们不会完全忽略该公司,但我们会尝试确定该业务的风险,以作出更明智的决策。我们的风险控制面板将有我们为中粮资本控股确定的一个风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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