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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Hualan Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301027) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Hualan Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301027) Current Share Price Momentum?

混合基础是否会对华兰集团股份有限公司(SZSE: 301027)当前股价动能产生负面影响?
Simply Wall St ·  06/21 19:29

Hualan Group (SZSE:301027) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 39% over the last week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Hualan Group's ROE in this article.

华兰集团(SZSE:301027)股票市场表现良好,上周股票价格显着上涨39%。不过,我们决定关注公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并未清晰地展现公司的财务状况。在本文中,我们决定研究华兰集团的净资产收益率(ROE)

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股东应考虑的重要因素是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们投资的资本如何被有效地再投资。简单来说,它用于评估公司与其股权资本相关的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以使用以下公式进行计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hualan Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,华兰集团的ROE是:

0.7% = CN¥6.8m ÷ CN¥970m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

0.7%=CN¥6.8m ÷ CN¥970m(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.01.

'回报'是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着对于每个股东的投资CN¥1,公司会产生CN¥0.01的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我们已经确定ROE是一种有效的利润生成标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力,我们现在需要评估公司“保留”为未来增长而重新投资的利润多少,这使我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,ROE和利润留存高的公司,增长率比没有这些属性的公司要高。

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,roe是一种有效的盈利增长衡量标准,用于评估公司未来盈利的能力,根据公司选择重新投资或“保留”其利润的数量,我们可以评估公司未来的盈利能力。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留越高,与没有这些特征的公司相比,公司的增长速度就越高。

Hualan Group's Earnings Growth And 0.7% ROE

华兰集团的盈利增长和0.7%的ROE

It is quite clear that Hualan Group's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.3%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 44% seen by Hualan Group was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很明显,华兰集团的ROE相当低。即使与行业平均ROE 7.3%相比,公司的ROE也相当低。因此,不妨说,华兰集团五年来净收入下降44%可能是因为它的ROE较低。我们认为这里可能还有其他因素。例如,公司的分红派息比率非常高,或面临竞争压力。

However, when we compared Hualan Group's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将华兰集团的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现尽管公司的收益正在下降,但同期行业收益增长了7.8%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301027 Past Earnings Growth June 21st 2024
SZSE:301027过去盈利增长2024年6月21日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Hualan Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者应该尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降(不论哪种情况)是否已定价。这有助于他们判断股票是否在未来处于良好或不良状态。如果您想了解华兰集团的估值,请查看其市盈率与行业的比较。

Is Hualan Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

华兰集团是否有效利用其利润?

Hualan Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (implying that it retains the remaining 80% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

当您将华兰集团的收缩收益与其低三年中位分红比率20%(暗示其保留其余80%的利润)相结合时,其低分红比率会让您感到惊讶。低分红应该意味着公司保留了大部分收益,并且因此应看到一些增长,因此,在这方面可能会有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Hualan Group started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,华兰集团最近才开始支付股息。因此,尽管收益下降,管理层可能认为股东更喜欢股息。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Hualan Group can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 4 risks we have identified for Hualan Group.

总的来说,我们认为华兰集团的表现可以有许多不同的解释。虽然公司具有高额利润保留率,但其低回报率可能阻碍其盈利增长。归纳起来,我们会谨慎对待这家公司,而做法之一是查看其业务的风险概况。我们的风险仪表板会列出华兰集团的4个风险。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或者发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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